tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2272645968035948292023-06-21T14:14:25.957+10:00The State of Play in Australian PoliticsCommentary on legislative and political developments within the Australian federationKerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.comBlogger64125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-61333296135893296082011-06-28T16:24:00.004+10:002011-06-28T16:36:53.598+10:00The tax forum as a platform for a grand bargain?In his <a href="http://www.dpmc.gov.au/media/speech_2011_06_08.cfm">Challenges of Federation</a> speech we referred to <a href="http://kmcorke.blogspot.com/2011/06/challenges-of-federalism.html">in a previous article</a>, Prime Minister’s Department Secretary Terry Moran said:<br /><br /><em>There are business leaders who hold the view that Australia can’t work well unless states cede regulatory authority to the Commonwealth, and that as much as possible affairs should be run from the centre. Proponents of this view often see government as a giant corporation, where everything is subject to the power of the CEO. This is not an arrangement for stable and effective democratic government. It is a recipe for authoritarianism, and would be a long way from the liberal democratic ethos we now enjoy.<br /></em><br />Yet this is how the Australian federal model operates.<br /><br /><a href="http://kmcorke.blogspot.com/2011/06/is-harmonisation-euphemism-for.html">In an earlier article</a> we referred to Peter Phelps’ maiden speech to the NSW Legislative Council.<br /><br />In another part of the speech he said:<br /><br /><em>The problem (with the Australian federal structure) is compounded by vertical fiscal imbalance or, to put it in the language of humans rather than economists, the States have the attitude of teenagers:<br /></em><br /><em>"Come on, dad, give us some more money.""Why don't you just get a job, son?""Aw, dad, now you're just being mean".<br /></em><br />This puts the situation well.<br /><br />The <a href="http://www.federalfinancialrelations.gov.au/content/intergovernmental_agreement_schedules/IGA_federal_financial_relations.rtf">Intergovernmental Agreement on Federal Financial Relations</a> provides:<br /><br /><em>The Commonwealth will provide National Partnership payments to the States and Territories to support the delivery of specified outputs or projects, to facilitate reforms or to reward those jurisdictions that deliver on nationally significant reforms or service delivery improvements.<br /></em><br />The <a href="http://www.federalfinancialrelations.gov.au/content/intergovernmental_agreement_schedules/IGA_FFR_ScheduleE_National_policy_and_reform_objective.rtf">National Policy and Reform Objectives</a> underwriting the Federal Financial Relations IGA reads:<br /><br /><em>National Partnership incentive payments will be provided to reward the States and Territories which deliver reform progress or continuous improvement in service delivery.<br /></em><br /><em>These payments will be structured in a way that encourages the achievement of ambitious milestones or performance benchmarks.<br /></em><br /><em>Graduated benchmarks may be specified in National Partnership agreements to provide that States receive some proportion of funding for activity that has not fully achieved the reform or service delivery objectives but has resulted in partial attainment of the agreed outcomes.<br /></em><br /><em>The achievement of milestones and performance benchmarks will be assessed by the independent COAG Reform Council, in order to provide transparency and enhance accountability in the performance assessment process.<br /></em><br /><em>National Partnerships should set out clear, mutually agreed and ambitious performance benchmarks that can be assessed by the COAG Reform Council. These should be structured in a way that encourages the achievement of ambitious reform targets and continuous improvement in service delivery, and provide better outcomes than would otherwise be expected.<br /></em><br />A practical example of a ‘reward payment is clause 32 of the <a href="http://www.coag.gov.au/intergov_agreements/federal_financial_relations/docs/national_partnership/seamless_national_economy_np.pdf">National Partnership Agreement to Deliver a Seamless National Economy</a> which provides:<br /><br /><em>32. The Commonwealth will provide reward payments to the States and Territories following CRC advice as to the achievement of key milestones, as set out in the Implementation Plan for the 27 deregulation priorities. The maximum distribution of funds to be paid is set out in Table 1 above.<br /></em><br />And as we referred to in <a href="http://kmcorke.blogspot.com/2011/06/is-harmonisation-euphemism-for.html">an earlier article</a>, the NSW Parliament passed reforms relating to directors liability because they were reforms as they were COAG reforms for which reward payments were payable for ‘meeting key milestones’ - and the NSW Government was keen to secure passage to win ‘brownie points’ for making the necessary changes to the law.<br /><br />If the state’s play up the Feds won’t pay up.<br /><br />And, despite the wishes of Terry Moran the Commonwealth is hardly slowing down the areas of public administration in which it wishes to become involved.<br /><br />The last article discussed the grand bargain that never was.<br /><br />It was a pity a succession struggle within the federal ALP derailed an attempt of a grand bargain.<br /><br />We remain of the view there should be a grand bargain establishing:<br /><br />1. which level of government should have responsibility for particular public policy areas;<br /><br />2. what taxation bases should be assigned to the states and territories; and<br /><br />3. where it is appropriate for the Commonwealth to be the level of government determining policy outcomes but is an area where it has no clear constitutional capacity to act, whether it is appropriate to confer Commonwealth power either:<br /><br />(a) indirectly, through an agreement made under section 96 of the Constitution; or<br /><br />(b) through a reference of power by the states to the Commonwealth or directly by constitutional amendment.<br /><br />Clearly, the <a href="http://ministers.treasury.gov.au/DisplayDocs.aspx?doc=pressreleases/2011/020.htm&pageID=003&min=wms&Year=&DocType=">proposed tax forum</a> to discuss the Henry Tax Review to be held on 4 and 5 October 2011 would be the perfect opportunity<br /><br />Except it won’t happen.<br /><br />The forum will apparently:<br /><br /><em>....continue the decade-long conversation we started with the release of Australia's Future Tax System (AFTS) Review last year. It will focus on the broad sweep of topics in the Review, with sessions to discuss personal tax, transfer payments, business tax, state taxes, environmental and social taxes, and system governance.<br /></em><br />But won’t discuss the GST, areas of the Henry Review the Government has already indicated it won’t implement and most importantly what elements of the federation will perform which function.<br /><br />This is a wasted opportunity.Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-91936807716097293222011-06-28T16:15:00.005+10:002011-06-28T16:22:58.703+10:00Bob Hawke and Nick Greiner's grand bargainA grand bargain realigning state and federal taxation streams and responsibilities was mooted during the early 1990s.<br /><br />The history was set out in the Victorian Parliament’s <em>Federal-State Relations Committee Inquiry Into Overlap and Duplication of Roles and Responsibilities Between the Commonwealth and the State; and Areas of Responsibility for Which the States Should Have an Enhanced Role for the Benefits of the Federation</em>:<br /><br /><em>6.22 The impetus for change to Australia’s federal system arose from a conjunction of political conditions. Bob Hawke, a Labor Prime Minister, and Nick Greiner, a Liberal Premier, shared common goals of microeconomic liberalisation and Commonwealth-State relations reform, as well as a common managerialist perspective on government. The fact that all the other State Premiers were Labor reduced differences among them over the agenda for change. The combination of a strong leader among the Premiers and a consensus oriented Prime Minister led to the adoption of a collaborative, consensual approach. This bipartisan, Commonwealth-State political commitment to the creation of a truly integrated national economy, and to the rationalisation of government roles, ensured momentum at the early stage.<br /></em><br /><em>6.23 The Hawke-Greiner partnership is symbolic of an implied comprehensive exchange. The microeconomic liberalisation that the Commonwealth was seeking would lead to uniformity of regulation, and a lessening of State intervention in the economy. In return for this reduction in their power, a realignment of roles and responsibilities, in combination with fiscal reform, would grant the States revenue and autonomy adequate to their expenditure responsibilities. The agenda was broader under Hawke than at any subsequent stage, and this comprehensive exchange seemed a real possibility.<br /></em><br /><em>6.24 This potential exchange collapsed in late 1991, with Paul Keating’s challenge to the Labor leadership. Keating sensed that Hawke did not have the support of the Labor caucus for fiscal and program devolution, and proceeded from late October 1991 to challenge Hawke largely on these grounds.<br /></em><br />Keating's action dismayed the premiers. They read out consistent statements in their respective state parliaments.<br /><br />For instance Wayne Goss told the <a href="http://www.parliament.qld.gov.au/view/legislativeAssembly/hansard/documents/1991/911112ha.pdf">Queensland Parliament</a>:<br /><br /><em>……Twelve months ago (in 1990), a new process for reforming the Australian Federation was commenced in Brisbane. That process sought to rationalise the financial relationship between the Commonwealth and the States, to rationalise functional responsibilities between the various levels of Government in order to minimise duplication and to improve the economic efficiency of the country through the implementation of wide-ranging micro-economic reforms.<br /><br />As the Prime Minister and the Premiers agreed in the Sydney communique, the Perth conference would— “consider the crucial and interrelated issues of reform of Commonwealth/State financial arrangements including reviewing the distribution of taxation powers to reduce vertical fiscal imbalance and a clearer definition of the roles and responsibilities of the respective Governments in the areas of program and service delivery . . .”<br /><br />In preparation for the Perth conference the States, large and small, Labor and conservative, developed a position paper containing a range of proposed reforms. First and foremost, the States agreed on a shared national income tax proposal whereby an agreed percentage of national income tax receipts would be returned to the States. This was to be achieved by a parallel reduction in financial assistance grants to the States and a reduction by the same percentage in the Commonwealth income taxation rate. This meant no increased taxation burden for Australian taxpayers. This meant providing the States with access to a growing source of revenue capable of guaranteeing our delivery of crucial services into the future. This also meant no diminution in the Commonwealth’s capacity to manage the national economy. </em><br /><em></em><br /><em>Secondly, the States advocated the establishment of a council of the Australian Federation comprised of the heads of Government of the Commonwealth and the States. This body was to provide a continuing mechanism through which the range of micro-economic reforms already initiated in this process could be sustained in the future.<br /><br />It was also to provide a means by which rational decisions could be taken on the future delineation of functional responsibilities between the two levels of Government. Most critically, this proposed council was to assist in lifting the vision of both the Commonwealth and the States above their own narrow and immediate interests and to concentrate instead on the pursuit of the national interest.<br /><br />Yesterday in the Commonwealth Parliament the Prime Minister stated that the Commonwealth Government could not support the States’ “shared national income tax proposal”. However, in rejecting this option, the Commonwealth Government has not advanced any sound policy reason as to why this proposal is unacceptable. Indeed, a joint report prepared by the Commonwealth and State Treasuries indicated that proposals such as the one advocated by the States would result in a significant reduction in vertical fiscal imbalance without compromising the Commonwealth’s legitimate requirement to maintain macro-economic control and without violating the principles of fiscal equalisation.<br /><br />Furthermore, the same Treasuries’ report notes that other successful federations, for example, the United States,Canada and West Germany, are able to manage their national economies with markedly lower levels of vertical fiscal imbalance than Australia.<br /><br />Regrettably, my colleagues—the other Premiers—and I have concluded that the States’ taxation reform proposal has been jettisoned for reasons other than those of a policy nature. Notwithstanding last-minute discussions late yesterday and again today, it appears that the Commonwealth is immoveable on this point. Given this position, and given that the reform of Commonwealth/State financial relations is fundamental to the whole reform of Australian federalism, the States reluctantly concluded that it was impossible to proceed with the Perth conference. To do so would have been to yield sound policy to the requirements of political expediency. …..<br /></em><br />Whilst the discussions that led to the implementation of the 1995 competition policy agreements continued, the opportunity of a ‘grand bargain’ was lost.Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-7161596407205321202011-06-28T16:08:00.002+10:002011-06-28T16:12:34.517+10:00The Challenges of FederalismAs a broad policy issue federalism is bubbling away.<br /><br />One bubble about the burst is the decision of the Government to impose a <a href="http://www.treasury.gov.au/contentitem.asp?NavId=037&ContentID=2070">minerals mining resource tax</a>.<br /><br />The tension arises because one element of the scheme is the provision of a full credit for state royalties paid by a miner.<br /><br />To limit this exposure, the Feds have been stepping up the pressure on states not to increase royalty rates payable on the extraction of minerals – one of the few ‘own source’ revenues remaining to state level governments.<br /><br />This is irksome to Western Australia, which relies heavily on royalties revenue.<br /><br />As Ken Wilshire said in a <a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/wa-pays-heavy-price-for-a-problematic-federation/story-fn59niix-1226060664190">recent opinion piece</a>:<br /><br /><em>This is no way to run a federation. Ask the Canadians, who have long faced the challenge of maintaining balance between their resource-rich western provinces and Ottawa. The difference there is that the provinces have a clear and appropriate taxation base. In Canada, as in every federation in the world except Australia, the states have full income taxation powers. (Resource-rich Alberta, home of Prime Minister Stephen Harper, has often had the lowest income taxes made possible by resources taxes.) And progressive federations such as Germany have tax sharing arrangements of a rational nature.<br /></em><br /><em>All this points to the way forward for Australia. The forthcoming tax summit must discuss federal finances and especially the hopeless vertical financial imbalance because of the dominance of the national government in taxation. This will forever divide the nation if not corrected. It is badly distorting the accountability of all governments to their electors.<br /></em><br />Henry Ergas has said <a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/commentary/the-fiscal-fighting-turns-feral/story-e6frgd0x-1226063672790">similar things:</a><br /><br /><em>The states' abject financial dependence on the commonwealth causes constant conflicts and inefficiencies, while the redistribution of tax revenues from richer to poorer states has reduced the states' incentive and ability to adjust to changing circumstances.<br /></em><br />On 8 June 2011 the Secretary of the Prime Minister’s Department (Terry Moran) <a href="http://www.dpmc.gov.au/media/speech_2011_06_08.cfm">gave a speech called the Challenges of Federalism.</a><br /><br />He largely lauded the 2008 <a href="http://www.coag.gov.au/intergov_agreements/federal_financial_relations/docs/IGA_federal_financial_relations.rtf">Intergovernmental Agreement on Federal Financial Relations</a> which established an <a href="http://www.dpmc.gov.au/media/docs/summary_outcomes_national_healthcare_agreement.doc">institutional</a> <a href="http://www.dpmc.gov.au/media/docs/federal_financial_relations-030211.rtf">framework</a> as the basis to establish jurisdictional cooperation.<br /><br />He then listed three things the States could do:<br /><br /><em>First, the states should continue to work with the Commonwealth to ensure the Intergovernmental Agreement achieves its goal of focused, incentive-based program delivery.<br /></em><br /><em>This is especially important in health, education, skills and workforce development, disability services, affordable housing and indigenous reform.<br /></em><br /><em>Second, the states should engage seriously with the review of Horizontal Fiscal Equalisation, and ensure the incentives in the arrangements are consistent with good governance and continuing reform.<br /></em><br /><em>And, third, the states should deliver on the promise they made when the GST was introduced, to reform their own tax bases in return for the stability of funding it provides.<br /></em><br /><em>Unless the states can rise to these challenges, there is a risk that the public will expect the Commonwealth to be more assertive in dealing with them – and that poses the risks of weakening the connection between government and citizens at the local level.</em><br /><br />He then listed three things the Feds could do:<br /><br /><em>First, the Commonwealth must continue to restrain its tendency to control an excessive number of inputs on national Specific Purpose Payments.<br /></em><br /><em>Second, the Commonwealth should allow for and support localised approaches to reform, and rely less on all-embracing boilerplate policies and programs once the basic system architecture is agreed.</em><br /><br /><em>And, third, the Commonwealth should move towards strategic partnerships with the states and </em><em>territories where it makes sense to share accountability for outcomes.</em><br /><br />Moran finally mentioned a concept of the ‘grand deal’.<br /><br /><em>The concept of a grand bargain has an interesting history. In 1976, Malcolm Fraser sought to counter what he saw as the excesses of the Whitlam years with a proposal to share the income tax base, providing the states with a more reliable source of revenue. Bob Hawke tried again in 1990 and 1991 with a different proposal: taxation powers would be reallocated in return for the states taking clear responsibility for particular areas of policy, including some areas within the Commonwealth’s authority. That proposal was fateful – or should I say fatal, at least for Bob Hawke, after Paul Keating used it as a weapon in his fight with Hawke for the prime ministership.<br /></em><br />There is indeed a history to the ‘grand bargain’. It is reviewed in the next article, followed by an article that proposes how the federalism debate can advance.Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-41508351790820095632011-06-12T19:18:00.007+10:002011-06-12T20:04:07.094+10:00OHS and NOLS - a rockier passage for seamless economy national schemes?As we have previously discussed, the COAG process is an exercise in ‘executive federalism’.<br /><br />When it comes to 'seamless economy' national schemes, the relevant Ministerial Council signs off on legislation that is then usually rubber stamped by state parliaments with nary a change, because ‘COAG said’.<br /><br />However there have been some signs that state parliaments may be less inclined to acquiese.<br /><br />States and territories are introducing legislation that broadly introduces the model Work Health and Safety Act agreed by the Workplace Relations Ministerial Council (the WMRC).<br /><br /><a href="http://kmcorke.blogspot.com/2009/04/seamless-economy-regulatory-project_7822.html">We have previously noted</a> the relevant intergovernmental agreement permitted some variation from the model legislation provided it doesn't ‘materially affect the operation of the model legislation’.<br /><br />A major commitment of the incoming NSW Government was to implement the model law as agreed.<br /><br />This meant not re-enacting some current NSW provisions, including the ability of unions commencing OHS prosecutions, hearing OHS cases in specialist industrial courts rather than courts of general jurisdiction, the reversal of the onus of proof and the effective imposition of absolute liability on employers.<br /><br />However, the Shooters and Fishers Party were successful in moving some amendments in the Legislative Council.<br /><br /><a href="http://www.parliament.nsw.gov.au/prod/parlment/hansart.nsf/V3Key/LC20110526036">As the party’s leader said</a>:<br /><br /><br /><br /><blockquote>If politics is the art of the achievable this is the best that we believe could be achieved in terms of a middle ground between both starting positions, that is, what the Government, farmers and business wanted and what the unions wanted. A number of issues raised with us have been considered by our party in coming to our position.<br /><br />The Shooters and Fishers Party supports the concept of harmonising occupational health and safety laws in New South Wales with those in the rest of Australia. This gives effect to a Council of Australian Governments [COAG] agreement signed on 3 July 2008, when each State and Territory agreed to develop and implement uniform national occupational health and safety laws by December 2011.<br /><br />At the same time we recognise that there will be minor differences between States and Territories. I believe that most members of this House and the Legislative Assembly would acknowledge the unique position of the New South Wales economy in the Commonwealth, and it is imperative for all of us to maintain and develop the competitive position of New South Wales in respect of other States and Territories.<br /><br /></blockquote><br />In the event, unions will be able to prosecute in some circumstances (but not claim a moiety or bounty) and some prosecutions will still be heard in the Industrial Court rather than the Local and District courts.<br /><br />In South Australia, the model bill was <a href="http://www.legislation.sa.gov.au/LZ/B/CURRENT/WORK%20HEALTH%20AND%20SAFETY%20BILL%202011/B_AS%20INTRODUCED%20IN%20LC/WORK%20AND%20SAFETY%20BILL%202011.UN.PDF">introduced and then withdrawn</a> by the Government in the Legislative Council.<br /><br />This was because there was some dissention about the ambit of the primary duty of care imposed by the legislation.<br /><br />The model bill imposes a general duty on people conducting a business or undertaking to take all reasonable steps to ensure health and safety.<br /><br />However, some argue this duty should be restricted to duty holders who have ‘control' over the relevant workplace.<br /><br />It is understood the Government may not have got the bill as introduced through the Council.<br /><br />However, an unamended bill was <a href="http://www.legislation.sa.gov.au/LZ/B/CURRENT/WORK%20HEALTH%20AND%20SAFETY%20BILL%202011/C_AS%20INTRODUCED%20IN%20HA/WORK%20AND%20SAFETY%20BILL%202011.UN.PDF">reintroduced into the House of Assembly</a> on 19 May 2011.<br /><br />So it will be interesting to see if the opposition to the terms of the model law will be sustained.<br /><br />Western Australia is considering the Occupational National Law Bill 2011.<br /><br />This is an ‘applied’ law - where one jurisdiction passes a 'template’ law (in this case, Victoria), and the others adopt that law as a law of the jurisdiction.<br /><br />Sadly, the WA Legislative Council Uniform Legislation and Statutes Review Committee hated the law, saying:<br /><br /><br /><br /><blockquote>1.2 The Bill does not introduce national occupational licensing. It proposes a process for developing a national licensing system. Other than that, it largely consists of a list of matters about which regulations may be made. It is not uncommon for uniform legislative schemes to leave detail to regulations. However, the Bill goes beyond this. It requires the substance of the licensing scheme to be in regulations.<br /><br />1.3 Given this, it is particularly important that the Bill meet minimum standards for good legislation. It should provide a reasonable degree of certainty and coherence as to the legislative framework , to which the regulation-making powers relate. The Bill does not meet this standard. It lacks clarity. Too often the Bill is silent. Too much is still to be developed. Too many options are left open. Too much is left to regulations. The Bill is not clear on what is permitted and what is not, what is to occur and what is not.<br /><br />1.4 As a result, it is not clear whether the Bill asks Parliament to delegate its legislation making power (to a Ministerial Council) in respect of the proposed licensing system or abrogate it.<br /></blockquote><br /><p>Other jurisdictions have passed the law, although in most the law has yet to be proclaimed – that is, it is not in operation.<br /><br />Proposed draft occupational licensing regulations for the occupations regulated by the so-called <a href="http://nola.gov.au/">NOLS scheme</a> (ranging from real estate agents to refrigeration mechanics) are about to be released.<br /><br />It will be interesting to see that whether, following consideration of the regulations stakeholders and governments will be happy to see NOLS continue as proposed.<br /><br />It is finally noted the South Australian House of Assembly has been given notice to consider providing the parliament’s Legislative Review Committee <a href="http://hansard.parliament.sa.gov.au/pages/loaddoc.aspx?e=1&eD=2011_03_09&c=32">a reference</a> to develop a process to consider ‘the issue of sovereignty separate to any other debate on a bill, thereby avoiding unnecessary debate on this issue in parliament and instead enabling the debate to focus on the purposes and content of a bill.’<br /><br />This is because:<br /></p><br /><br /><blockquote>(o)n many an occasion when a bill has sought to apply a law scheme from another jurisdiction—the most recent example I am aware of is the Controlled Substances (Therapeutic Goods and Other Matters) Amendment Bill—the issue of sovereignty is raised and an unnecessary amount of time is spent debating constitutional law issues instead of debating the purposes and content of the bill. </blockquote><br /><blockquote><br /><p>During the debate on that piece of legislation, and one other, I said to the member for Morphett—because I understand the issues being raised by the opposition in terms of sovereignty—'How about we refer the matter to the Legislative Review Committee to see if it can come up with an appropriate way of dealing with these types of measures so that we can reach some consensus about how to do it?' So, that is what I seek to do. The I advice I have is that, given the nature of what I am asking the Legislative Review Committee to do, it has to go through both houses of parliament, so I commend this motion to the house.</p></blockquote><br /><p>Unfortuately the reference lacks clarity. </p><br /><p>The issue of whether a state should yield (or if a European Union fanatic, 'pool') sovereignty with other jurisdictions is a threshold issue when considering whether a particular Bill has merit. It is difficult ot divorce this consideration from others.</p><br /><p>Perhaps the question is whether the South Australian Parliament should either create, or clothe the Legislative Review Committee with responsibility for, the functions discharged by the WA Legislative Council’s Uniform Legislation and Statutes Review Committee. </p><br /><p>It would be appropriate to have the matter clarified, as this reference could play an important national role as a mechanism that can assess the appropriateness of the model law and applied law models of implementing ‘seamless economy’ national legislative schemes. </p><br /><br /><br /><blockquote><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><p></p><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><p><span style="font-size:0;"><span style="font-size:0;"><span style="font-size:0;"><span style="font-size:0;"></p><br /><br /><br /><blockquote></blockquote></span></span></span></span></blockquote>Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-64701944940144339712011-06-12T16:56:00.008+10:002011-06-12T17:21:58.842+10:00Is harmonisation a euphemism for subjugation of the states?Peter Phelps is a new member of the NSW Legislative Council.<br /><br />As is the wont of maiden (or, as they are now grandly called, so as not to offend maidens, inaugural) speeches, the new member <a href="http://www.parliament.nsw.gov.au/prod/parlment/hansart.nsf/V3Key/LC20110504065">canvassed a number of different issues</a>.<br /><br />Perhaps unusually for a state MP making his first speech, he wondered about the point of maintaining the concept of provincial government, making some of the usual observations: <br /><blockquote><br /><br /><p>What relevance do the States then have? Not much by any assessment. They are too small to encompass the cultural and too large to encompass genuine communities of interest. To that end, Alex Hawke, who is in the public gallery today, kindly faxed me a copy of Jack Lang's 1930 Abolition Bill, with the suggestion that it would be an excellent first private member's bill for me to introduce. I doubt whether I will be taking him up on that offer at this time. </p><br /><p>But if we are just going to be a way station for the Federal Government and its dictat, then why not? Why not abolish the Legislative Council and the Legislative Assembly. Why not abolish the State Government entirely? What purpose do we serve if we are straight-jacketed within federally mandated systems of education, water, land use, fishing, and environmentalism? Since the engineers case, the High Court has permitted a gradual accretion of power and interference in State matters.<br /><br />Harmonisation has become a euphemism for subjugation. What is the use of this? Are we simply an imperial bauble perched atop a colonial anachronism, the errand boys of the Federal Government? If States are to remain relevant we must fight for real competitive federalism—not cooperative federalism—with genuine competition between the States, not this collectivist begging bowl approach. If you want to be a pot smoking Mullumbimby hippie, fine—but do not expect me to subsidise your lifestyle. Similarly, if a State has resources that are left unused, why should it expect us to subsidise a lifestyle for which it is unwilling to pay? If the distribution of revenue to the States was done on the basis of direct parity with its collection, then fine. It is not perfect but at least it would be a just outcome. But at this time horizontal fiscal equalisation, as it is called, is just an excuse to rob the productive to pay the lazy.<br /><br /></p></blockquote>Whether through grand design or humorous coincidence the <a href="http://www.parliament.nsw.gov.au/prod/parlment/hansart.nsf/8bd91bc90780f150ca256e630010302c/ced1a904d711b091ca257893001fddb7?OpenDocument">very next business in the Council</a> was the thrillingly named Miscellaneous Acts Amendment (Director’s Liability) Bill 2011<br /><br />The reason for introducing the legislation was because:<br /><br /><br /><blockquote>(t)hese amendments will ensure that New South Wales legislation imposing this type of liability accords with the set of principles agreed by the Council of Australian Governments [COAG] to guide the reform and harmonisation of directors' liability across Australian law.<br /></blockquote><br /><br /><p>As the Attorney-General said in the <a href="http://www.parliament.nsw.gov.au/prod/parlment/hansart.nsf/V3Key/LA20110504006">Legislative Assembly</a>:<br /></p><br /><br /><blockquote><br /><p>I thank honourable members for their contributions to the debate. In particular I thank the member for Liverpool, who said the Opposition does not oppose the legislation, which we are pleased about because it is important Council of Australian Governments [COAG] legislation. In response to the member for Liverpool, these reforms are part of a COAG National Partnership Agreement under which there are reward payments to the States for achieving key milestones.<br /><br />One of these key milestones was for legislation implementing these reforms by December 2010. The Liberal-Nationals Government was not in office at that time. However, perhaps we can get some brownie points, because these milestones may be reviewed by COAG and there may be a second tranche of reforms at a later stage.....<br /></p></blockquote><br /><p>Somewhat proves Phelps’ point, really.<br /><br />There have been some developments in the federalism debate recently. They are discussed in the next couple of articles.</p>Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-36950893743921306622011-06-12T15:18:00.005+10:002011-06-12T15:34:33.834+10:00The ALP after the NSW election - facing the Canadian conundrum?The Greens subsequently won the seat of Balmain following the publication of the previous article.<br /><br />However, ultimately the coalition now holds 42 seats on margins above 20%, with the ALP <a href="http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2011/04/new-nsw-electoral-pendulum.html">requiring a swing of 16.5% to win next time</a>.<br /><br />The Libs now hold some extraordinary seats by extraordinary margins. They include Londonderry (13.1%), Penrith (16.3%), Riverstone (20.3%) and, even more remarkably, seats like Campbelltown (3.4%) and Smithfield (4.8%).<br /><br />They highlight the dilemma the ALP has in trying to square representing both working people and the inner urban ‘progressive’ professionals.<br /><br />John Faulkner recently had (another) go at prescribing a solution when he delivered the <a href="http://www.news.com.au/national/the-wran-lecture-senator-john-faulkner/story-e6frfkvr-1226072637504">Wran lecture.</a><br /><br />As Simon Benson observed in the <a href="http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/opinion/bickering-factions-are-losing-the-plot/story-e6frezz0-1226073215143">Daily Telegraph</a>:<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><blockquote>Faulkner's thesis centres on a belief that the reason Labor's membership has disappeared was not only as a result of the cancerous machine-dominated process of preselections but because they failed to engage on left issues, causing a leakage of future Labor activists to fringe organisations like Get Up…….<br /><br />If Labor had not been afraid to embrace Left-wing issues before the election, people would not have voted Green.<br /><br /></blockquote><br />That is one view. Benson himself thought the real problem for the ALP was:<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><blockquote>….the political dead weight of the trade union movement.<br /><br />When they represented the bulk of the workforce they had legitimacy in the ALP. At their current 15 per cent - the majority of which are in public sector unions - they have a diminished legitimacy.<br /><br /></blockquote>Another view.<br /><br />As Peter Hartcher said in an <a href="http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/labor-peers-into-the-abyss-20110610-1fx05.html">opinion piece</a> following Faulkner’s speech:<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><blockquote>Labor is now in an existential crisis. For the first time, it has a serious political challenger capable of taking seats from its left, as well as the traditional enemy on the right, the Coalition.<br /><br />If an elector wants to vote for a conservative party, she can vote for a real conservative party, the Liberals. If an elector wants to vote for a progressive party, he can vote for a real progressive party, the Greens.<br /><br />Why vote for the one in the middle? Only 31 per cent of voters would bother, according to the latest Herald Nielsen poll, and that's about 9 percentage points fewer than Labor needs if it hopes to stand for election as a party capable of governing in its own right.<br /><br /></blockquote>The worst case scenario is that Labor will face the ‘Canadian conundrum’.<br /><br />For many years the Canadian Liberals acted as the dominant ‘brokerage’ party, with long periods of government. By monopolising the centre (and centre left) it usually pushed the conservative parties (as constituted from time to time) to the extremes.<br /><br />However, following a loss of government the Liberals became increasingly trapped between a successful Conservative Party and the New Democrats, a progressive party perhaps best described as what a combination of the ALP left and the Greens would look like.<br /><br />The Liberals suffered the <a href="http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/canadas-new-electoral-divide-its-about-the-money/article2009191/">worst outcome imaginable</a>:<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><blockquote>Then came the unexpected surge of the NDP, and Conservative Leader Stephen Harper’s eleventh-hour appeal to Liberal voters with economically conservative leanings, often called blue Liberals. “Let me speak very clearly to traditional Liberal voters: I know many of you do not want NDP policies. That you do not want NDP tax hikes,” Mr. Harper said on Sunday.<br /><br />The message: Only we can protect your prosperity.<br /><br />The result is that the Conservatives were able to achieve in 2011 what eluded them in 2008, a coalition of economically conservative-minded voters who cast their ballots based on pocketbook issues rather than concerns over cultural issues, including the Tories’ supposed leanings toward social conservatism.<br /><br />Those blue Liberals were the missing element in the Conservative coalition. In the 1990s, they were the foundation of the successive Liberal sweeps of Ontario. So long as they remained with the Liberals, Mr. Harper would be shut out of the urban heart of most big Canadian cities.<br /><br />But the rise of the NDP, which siphoned off progressive-minded Liberals, clearly spooked a sizable number of blue Liberals, causing them to bolt to Mr. Harper in the last weekend of campaigning...<br /><br /></blockquote><br />This could be the federal fate of the ALP if Tony Abbott commences to concentrate on values than being the party of ‘no’ and if the Labor fails to reform itself.<br /><br />The question is – can Labor?<br /><br />The (second most) recent appointment to the NSW Legislative Council was Walt Secord.<br /><br />As the Sun Herald reports:<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><blockquote>After he left Carr's office, Hawker gave Secord work at his Labor-aligned lobbyist firm Hawker Britton before parachuting him into Rudd's office in Canberra 12 months before the Kevin07 campaign. Straight after the historic win for Labor, Secord was moved (some say shafted) to the office of Justine Elliot, the then minister for ageing, before returning to Sydney in 2009 to work briefly for treasurer Eric Roozendaal and then Keneally.<br /><br />Keneally describes Secord as ''among Australia's best'' political and media operators but also ''policy smart''....<br /><br /></blockquote>and:<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><blockquote>Liberals are happy to see Secord in the upper house where he will be joined by the former primary industries minister Steve Whan, who lost his seat of Monaro but will be parachuted into the Legislative Council to raise the ALP's leadership stocks.<br /><br />“Having Walt Secord and Steve Whan taking up seats is just more proof that Labor talks about renewal but still hasn't acted upon the talk,'' says the Liberal source.<br /><br /></blockquote><br />In NSW at least, until Labor change the view that the best government is drawn from from a parliament of the nomenklatura they face a long time in the wildernessKerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-1875237530688086182011-06-12T15:12:00.003+10:002011-06-28T17:03:51.766+10:00Further reflections on the NSW electionThe Greens subsequently won the seat of Balmain following the publication of the previous article.<br /><br />However, ultimately the coalition now holds 42 seats on margins above 20%, with the ALP <a href="http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2011/04/new-nsw-electoral-pendulum.html">requiring a swing of 16.5% to win next time</a>.<br /><br />The Libs now hold some extraordinary seats by extraordinary margins. They include Londonderry (13.1%), Penrith (16.3%), Riverstone (20.3%) and, even more remarkably, seats like Campbelltown (3.4%) and Smithfield (4.8%).<br /><br />They highlight the dilemma the ALP has in trying to square representing both working people and the inner urban ‘progressive’ professionals.<br /><br />John Faulkner recently had (another) go at prescribing a solution when he delivered the <a href="http://www.news.com.au/national/the-wran-lecture-senator-john-faulkner/story-e6frfkvr-1226072637504">Wran lecture.</a><br /><br />As Simon Benson observed in the <a href="http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/opinion/bickering-factions-are-losing-the-plot/story-e6frezz0-1226073215143">Daily Telegraph</a>:<br /><br /><br /><em>Faulkner's thesis centres on a belief that the reason Labor's membership has disappeared was not only as a result of the cancerous machine-dominated process of preselections but because they failed to engage on left issues, causing a leakage of future Labor activists to fringe organisations like Get Up…….<br /><br />If Labor had not been afraid to embrace Left-wing issues before the election, people would not have voted Green.<br /><br /></em><br /><blockquote></blockquote>That is one view. Benson thought the real problem for the ALP was:<br /><br /><br /><em>….the political dead weight of the trade union movement.<br /><br />When they represented the bulk of the workforce they had legitimacy in the ALP. At their current 15 per cent - the majority of which are in public sector unions - they have a diminished legitimacy.<br /><br /></em><br /><blockquote></blockquote>Another view.<br /><br />As Peter Hartcher said in an <a href="http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/labor-peers-into-the-abyss-20110610-1fx05.html">opinion piece</a> following Faulkner’s speech:<br /><br /><br /><em>Labor is now in an existential crisis. For the first time, it has a serious political challenger capable of taking seats from its left, as well as the traditional enemy on the right, the Coalition.<br /><br />If an elector wants to vote for a conservative party, she can vote for a real conservative party, the Liberals. If an elector wants to vote for a progressive party, he can vote for a real progressive party, the Greens.<br /><br />Why vote for the one in the middle? Only 31 per cent of voters would bother, according to the latest Herald Nielsen poll, and that's about 9 percentage points fewer than Labor needs if it hopes to stand for election as a party capable of governing in its own right.<br /></em><br />The worst case scenario is that Labor will face the ‘Canadian conundrum’.<br /><br />For many years the Canadian Liberals acted as the dominant ‘brokerage’ party, with long periods of government. By monopolising the centre (and centre left) it usually pushed the conservative parties (as constituted from time to time) to the extremes.<br /><br />However, following a loss of government the Liberals became increasingly trapped between a successful Conservative Party and the New Democrats, a progressive party perhaps best described as what a combination of the ALP left and the Greens would look like.<br /><br /><br />The Liberals suffered the <a href="http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/canadas-new-electoral-divide-its-about-the-money/article2009191/">worst outcome imaginable</a>:<br /><br /><br /><em>Then came the unexpected surge of the NDP, and Conservative Leader Stephen Harper’s eleventh-hour appeal to Liberal voters with economically conservative leanings, often called blue Liberals. “Let me speak very clearly to traditional Liberal voters: I know many of you do not want NDP policies. That you do not want NDP tax hikes,” Mr. Harper said on Sunday.<br /><br />The message: Only we can protect your prosperity.<br /><br />The result is that the Conservatives were able to achieve in 2011 what eluded them in<br />2008, a coalition of economically conservative-minded voters who cast their ballots based on pocketbook issues rather than concerns over cultural issues, including the Tories’ supposed leanings toward social conservatism.<br /><br />Those blue Liberals were the missing element in the Conservative coalition.</em><br /><em><br />In the 1990s, they were the foundation of the successive Liberal sweeps of Ontario. So long as they remained with the Liberals, Mr. Harper would be shut out of the urban heart of most big Canadian cities.<br /><br />But the rise of the NDP, which siphoned off progressive-minded Liberals,clearly spooked a sizable number of blue Liberals, causing them to bolt to Mr.Harper in the last weekend of campaigning.... </em><br /><br />This could be the fate of the ALP if Tony Abbott commences to concentrate on values than being the party of 'no and if Labor fails to reform itself.<br /><br /><br />The question is – can Labor?<br /><br /><br />The (second most) most recent Labor appointment to the NSW Legislative Council was Walt Secord.<br /><br /><br />As the Sun Herald reports:<br /><br /><br /><em>After he left Carr's office, Hawker gave Secord work at his Labor-aligned lobbyist firm Hawker Britton before parachuting him into Rudd's office in Canberra 12 months before the Kevin07 campaign. Straight after the historic win for Labor, Secord was moved (some say shafted) to the office of Justine Elliot, the then minister for ageing, before returning to Sydney in 2009 to work briefly for treasurer Eric Roozendaal and then Keneally.<br /></em><br /><br /><em>Keneally describes Secord as ''among Australia's best'' political and media operators but also ''policy smart''<br /></em><br /><br />and:<br /><br /><br /><em>Liberals are happy to see Secord in the upper house where he will be joined by the former primary industries minister Steve Whan, who lost his seat of Monaro but will be parachuted into the Legislative Council to raise the ALP's leadership stocks.<br /></em><br /><br /><em>“Having Walt Secord and Steve Whan taking up seats is just more proof that Labor talks about renewal but still hasn't acted upon the talk,'' says the Liberal source.<br /></em><br /><br />Quite.<br /><br /><strong>UPDATE</strong><br /><strong></strong><br /><a href="http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2011/06/a-few-statistical-notes-on-the-nsw-election.html#more">Antony Green</a> has conducted an analysis on the NSW election which includes observations such as:<br /><br />- the Coalition's 2-party preferred vote was 75.7% in country NSW, 62.0% in Sydney and even 53.9% in the industrial seats of the Hunter and Illawarra;<br /><br />- in the Hunter Valley, Labor's primary vote was 32.9%, against 33.1% for the Liberal Party and 2.1% for the Nationals;<br /><br />- the Liberal Party polled 50.6% of the first preference vote in greater a Sydney as opposed to 28.3% for Labor;.<br /><br />- the Liberal Party even won a majority of the vote in Western Sydney, a first preference vote of 43.5% to 36.6% for Labor, a Liberal 2-party vote of 53.8%; and<br /><br />- the Labor first preference vote was in single figures in seven electorates.<br />Truly a terrible result.Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-42171227807797888512011-06-11T13:57:00.009+10:002011-06-11T14:31:54.985+10:00The NSW Election and the ALPThis article was originally published at On Line Opinion on 31 March 2011.<br /><br />A follow up article will discuss developments since the NSW election.<br /><br />The NSW ALP has just received its anticipated thumping at the polls, creating a real Quo Vadis moment for both it and the ALP more generally.<br /><br />This may well have been a ‘transformational election’ – where tribal voters irrevocably change allegiance.<br /><br />The NSW ALP gamebook (copied in other states) was set out by Bruce Hawker from Hawker Britton in a Sydney Morning Herald article of <a href="http://www.hawkerbritton.com/hawker-britton-media/media-2006/liberal-party-hard-lessons.htm">14 September 2006</a>:<br /><br /><blockquote><br /><br /><br /><p>When state Labor governments began being re-elected from 1995, the public gave them qualified endorsement. In almost every instance they were elected with the bearest of margins and had to prove they were solid, conservative managers of the economy. When they did move it was usually to the centre on their traditionally weak areas, such as law and order and encouraging development. Premiers such as Bob Carr and Mike Rann were also able to woo the green vote with environmental measures the conservatives could never match, saddled as they are to the Nationals. This political dexterity effectively gave Labor's opponents nowhere to move. The result has been a long run of election wins, each one as good or better than the last. However, this clever positioning in the middle that has worked for the last 15 years has now run its race.<br /></p></blockquote><br /><br /><br /><p>Demographer Bernard Salt <a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/opinion/its-time-for-the-burbs-to-be-heard/story-e6frg9jx-1225760802497">has noted</a> a social and economic division between those who live in the inner city and those who live on the city's edge:<br /></p><br /><br /><br /><blockquote>…... I am suggesting that there is almost a regionalisation of wealth, income and culture based on urban geography.Battlers, migrants and assorted low-income earners who formerly lived in the inner city are now being flung out, as if by some centrifugal force, to the city's edge. What is left in the inner city is an odd coalescence of tribes - namely students, singles, couples, dinks, gays, expats, corporates, divorcees and, most important of all, the professional and entrepreneurial classes. And to this lot I might add the entertainment, information and media glitterati. As a general principle, none of this class would ever think of living more than 10km from the city centre.<br /></blockquote><br /><br /><br /><p>The ALP voting coalition has hitherto consisted of self identifying members of the working class, people with English as a second language, income transfer recipients, public sector workers, the arts sector and progressive middle class professionals who are both secularist and internationalist in orientation.<br /><br />However, the Greens message - guided by the so-called ‘four pillars’ (ecological sustainability, social equality and economic justice, grassroots democracy and peace and disarmament and nonviolence,) is apparently more amenable to a ‘progressive’ middle class constituency than one put out by a 50% union controlled cadre party designed to represent the ‘labour movement’, achieving progressive change primarily through improvements to working conditions and changes to the wages and salaries system.<br /><br />Although the Greens failed to make their anticipated breakthrough win in the lower house they are the second most popular party in a number of Sydney electorates, they still won 10% of the vote and the clustered nature of its vote certainly requires the ALP to use a lot of ammunition in seats such as Marrickville and Balmain so Labor can remain competitive in these seats.<br /><br />On the other side of the coin, the ‘lifestyle’ values of these voters, such as placing a premium on environmental issues, may not be necessarily shared by those in the outer suburbs and industrial regions more interested in more utilitarian issues that are part of living in suburbia – being able to run the car, keep the mortgage paid, and so forth.<br /><br />The party of organised labour also faces the problem that the larger manufacturing operations employing thousands of unionised workers are being replaced by smaller less unionised service industries, breaking the nexus between worker and union and thus the broader ‘labour movement’.<br /><br />Finally, in the land of the Macmansion and the self-employed tradie, ‘working class’ identity is being replaced by ‘aspirational’ ideals, creating an environment in which the centre-right message of financial prudence, self-help and independence is receptive.<br /><br />And so it showed in Newcastle seats such as Charlestown (24.8% swing) and Campbelltown (20.5% swing) amongst others.<br /><br />The Hunter and the Illawarra no longer have the industrial bases of times of yore, making it more receptive to the safe conservatism of Barry O’Farrell whilst the inner city is turning Green. </p><br /><p><br />The glue that bound the ‘labour movement’ – a wish to express solidarity with the working class – has lost its power to bind, as ‘progressive’ voters become more interested in more abstract concerns such as ‘social justice’ and the erstwhile members of the working class no longer feel…..well…..working class.<br /><br />This massive rejection of 26 March means the question of ‘what does Labor mean in the 21st century mean?’ will broadly resonate, with possible federal ramifications.<br /><br />The Prime Minister attempted to set a new middle ground on which to establish the ALP In her <a href="http://www.pm.gov.au/press-office/speech-don-dunstan-foundation-adelaide">Don Dunstan Foundation speech</a> of 16 March 2011.<br /><br />In the immediate context of arguing why its carbon reduction policies are important, she framed Labor as being between the coalition and the greens:<br /><br /></p><br /><blockquote>Neither of the extremes in Australian politics can deliver this reform (carbon reduction). The Coalition has surrendered itself to fear-mongering and denying the power of markets.The Greens are not a party of government and have no tradition of striking the balance required to deliver major reform.<br /></blockquote><br />She went on to say:<br /><br /><br /><br /><blockquote>Like the economic transformation of the 1980s, this is a reform that can only be handled in the progressive Labor tradition…… In all of this, we draw strength from enduring Labor values - protecting jobs – always our first commitment; a sustainable environment for future generations – an environment with less carbon pollution; reform with equity, looking after those who need a helping hand; and accepting a scientific world - view in a community of reason.<br /></blockquote><br />For the sake of her party, this restatement of the ALP as the brokerage party of Australian politics had best resonate with sufficient numbers of electors.<br /><br />Otherwise, it will face a slow descent into irrelevance, stuck between two world views based more on lifestyle than anything else, better reflecting the binary political divide of this century’s Australia than the labour/capital divide of the last.Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-51955971129994838042011-03-08T13:25:00.010+11:002011-03-08T13:57:15.987+11:00The Mugging of Bruce Baird (and the Carbon Tax) Shows Why a Tax Summit is Needed Now<blockquote></blockquote>It is a shame that <a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/libs-seek-new-balance-of-power-on-taxation/story-fn59niix-1226016791833">political reality</a> has forced NSW Shadow Treasurer Mike Baird stop thinking about imposing a profits based tax on mining, rather than the current royalties system of taxing an amount for each tonne of mineral extracted.<br /><br />It probably is a more efficient way to bring mining to taxation.<br /><br />We hope Baird isn't forced to drop the other parts of his observations made to <em><a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/libs-seek-new-balance-of-power-on-taxation/story-fn59niix-1226016791833">The Australian</a>:</em><br /><br /><blockquote><blockquote><span>A NSW Coalition government would push for radical reform of federal-state relations at the looming tax summit by demanding the states directly receive a greater share of overall taxes. NSW opposition Treasury spokesman Mike Baird said that, if elected on March 26, he would use the federal government's promised summit to address the imbalance in state and federal taxation powers and spending needs.<br /><br />States were responsible for 40 per cent of service delivery, but raised only 16 per cent of taxes, he said, adding that NSW would operate more efficiently if it had greater responsibility for raising revenue.<br /><br /></span></blockquote><span style="font-size:0;"><span style="font-size:0;"><span style="font-size:0;"><p></span></span></span><br /></p></blockquote><p>We have previously <a href="http://kmcorke.blogspot.com/2010/05/funding-social-democratic-project-and.html">noted </a>the recommendations contained in the Henry Review, and, like Baird hopes that the proposed summit will determine:<br /><br />1. which level of government should have responsibility for particular public policy areas;<br /><br />2. what taxation bases should be assigned to the states and territories; and<br /><br />3. where it is appropriate for the Commonwealth to be the level of government determining policy outcomes but is an area where it has no clear constitutional capacity to act, whether it is appropriate to confer Commonwealth power either:<br /><br />(a) indirectly, through an agreement made under section 96 of the Constitution; or<br /><br />(b) through a reference of power by the states to the Commonwealth or directly by constitutional amendment.<br /><br />The importance of getting the taxation mix right is now more important than ever should the the God Knows What It Will Look Like Carbon Tax ever get up, discussed in our <a href="http://kmcorke.blogspot.com/2011/03/blog-post.html">previous post</a>.</p><p>Efficient public administration deserves nothing less.</p>Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-52145661909326712442011-03-03T13:31:00.001+11:002011-03-03T13:56:31.521+11:00Of disability, carbon and terrorism - new entitlements for a new centuryThree interesting things happened this week.<br /><br />The Productivity Commission <a href="http://www.pc.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0015/106350/draft-disability-overview.pdf">draft report </a>on disability care and support, proposing a number of new assistance programmes, was released.<br /><br />It proposed a National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS) to provide disability-related services and supports to the community at large, with a particular emphasis on funded support for people with significant disabilities and their carers.<br /><br />People with a ‘permanent disability’ will receive ‘reasonable and necessary’ support free of any income or assets test, determined on the basis of satisfying criteria contained in ‘assessment tools’ which are ‘relatively easy to administer and exhibit low susceptibility to gaming’.<br /><br />It also proposed a National Injury Insurance Scheme (NIIS). Building from existing schemes, it is to provide lifetime care and support to those suffering catastrophic injuries from accidents, such as quadriplegia, acquired brain injuries, severe burns and multiple amputations, administered under consistent ‘state-based, no-fault arrangements.’<br /><br />The report notably suggested ‘common law rights to sue for long-term care and support should be removed’.<br /><br />The House of Representatives debated Tony Abbott’s <a href="http://parlinfo.aph.gov.au/parlInfo/download/legislation/bills/r4502_first/toc_pdf/11023b01.pdf;fileType=application%2Fpdf">private members bill</a> creating an entitlement for people (or families of people) injured or killed overseas as a result of ‘terrorist acts’ under a Assisting Australian Victims of Overseas Terrorist Scheme Framework operating under guidelines prepared by the Attorney-General.<br /><br />Finally, the <a href="http://www.pm.gov.au/press-office/climate-change-framework-announced">carbon</a> <a href="http://www.pm.gov.au/sites/default/files/MPCC_carbon_price_mechanism.rtf">tax</a>, was imposed on all carbon emitting sectors except (apparently) agriculture and (depending on the time of day) those using petrol, with ‘every cent raised’ to (amongst other things) ‘ assist families with household bills’ was (again) proposed by the Prime Minister.<br /><br />Each proposal incorporates the payment of new entitlements to particular classes of people satisfying particular criteria.<br /><br />And they are all dear.<br /><br />Abbott is silent as to where the money for his proposed entitlement comes from – undoubtedly consolidated revenue.<br /><br />The Productivity Commission proposes NDIS be funded by direct payments from consolidated revenue, with an alternative option being a levy on personal income (a national disability insurance premium) to be imposed so as to allow the scheme to operate.<br /><br />The NIIS is to be funded from third party insurance premiums and state based property taxes.<br /><br />The carbon tax of course, pays for allowances to families to compensate the effect of…well….the carbon tax.<br /><br />This is odd.<br /><br />One reason to bring something to tax is to encourage <a href="http://www.marketbasedinstruments.gov.au/WhatisanMBI/RangeofMBIsforNRM/tabid/121/Default.aspx">change in behaviour</a>.<br /><br />In this case, you would have thought the intention of the carbon tax is to get across to the ordinary family the idea that ‘turn on the air conditioner and you will receive a painful smack in the hip pocket. Don’t do it!’<br /><br />Compensating for the increased cost of electricity arising from the imposition of a tax from its proceeds is….a little circular, really.<br /><br />There are other concerns with these proposals.<br /><br />The first is, as many small businesses who geared up to provide to supply pink batts and solar panels for now reduced or removed government programmes (and those people who have, or intended, to change behaviour on the basis of the programmes) know, what the Lord giveth, the Lord can taketh away.<br /><br />People can, in good faith, organise their affairs on the basis of the conditions of programmes or ‘relatively easy to administer assessment tools’ and find that all of a sudden the rules have changed, with great personal cost.<br /><br />The second is the increase of the role of government.<br /><br />For example, when the Prime Minister announced the carbon tax, the <em>Sydney Morning Herald</em> <a href="http://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/abbott-would-do-anything-to-gain-power-windsor-20110228-1baxp.html">reported</a> that:<br /><br /><blockquote>Together with the Climate Institute, (Independent MP Tony) Windsor says more than 30,000 jobs are waiting to be created in the transition to environmentally<br />friendly electricity generation.</blockquote>However, the report went on to say:<br /><br /><blockquote>The institute’s chief executive officer John Conor said the net figure of 30,000 jobs would be impacted by challenges in the coal-rich Hunter Valley and Victoria's La Trobe.<br /><br />"If you manage this problem you can grow opportunities," Mr Conor said.<br /></blockquote>You have to hope that the outcomes to be achieved by imposing the carbon tax are so whizzer that it’s worth having the lives of Hunter and La Trobe valley residents turned upside down – and that the residents of those areas will enjoy having changes to lifestyles ‘managed’.<br /><br />The final concern is the possibility that a culture of dependency can be developed.<br /><br />An example is the proposed entitlement right to be created if someone is identified as being ‘disabled’ under the proposed NDIS.<br /><br />There is no particular argument about the appropriateness of providing government support to those with catastrophic illnesses or injuries.<br /><br />Moreover, there is substance to the proposal of creating an entitlement right on the basis of an objective level of disability rather than the current multiple pathways to, and different levels of, entitlement depending on circumstance.<br /><br />However, if the threshold level of eligibility is cast too low, there can be circumstances where a person could become eligible to receive a benefit because something objectively identified as a disability is simply part of getting old – a reasonably foreseeable circumstance that an individual could plan for.<br /><br />The mere knowledge that there is a ‘right’ that will accrue in due course can mean that many will simply not prudently plan for the future, ensuring that future generations will have to ensure that this scheme (and all the others, like Abbott’s proposal and compensation to ensure families are not impacted on carbon taxes etc) are fully funded or face the electoral fury of the entitlement class and its supporters.<br /><br />Tax levels will need to reflect this.<br /><br />Finally, as we have previously discussed, the quality of the services provided will vary depending on the competing pressures on the budget at any given time.<br /><br />Many will simply be stuck with whatever the government dishes up…….which may not be much at all.<br /><br />The increasing temperature of the debate in Canberra illustrates that people are slowly becoming aware that this Parliament could really make decisions that influencing the structure of Australian society in the 21st century.<br /><br />Better buckle up for the ride.Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-47916598690031250202011-02-19T17:54:00.003+11:002011-02-19T18:04:18.924+11:00Forget What We Said Earlier: COAG, Still the Fourth Tier of Government<a href="http://kmcorke.blogspot.com/2010/11/slow-breakdown-of-coag-part-2.html">We</a> have previously noted that some people such as <a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/reform-logjam-overloads-coag/story-e6frg6n6-1225945873459">WA Premier Colin Barnett</a> have suggested that COAG is becoming another tier of government.<br /><br />The content of the <a href="http://www.coag.gov.au/coag_meeting_outcomes/2011-02-13/docs/communique_20110213.pdf">COAG communiqué of 13 February 2011</a> suggests the tendency is continuing.<br /><br />The main event was the signing of the Heads of Agreement on National Health Reform<br /><br />However, other matters were dealt with.<br /><br />A National Vocational Education and Training Regulator is to be established to ‘drive better quality standards and regulation across the Australian VET sector'.<br /><br />This new body will join the Australian Health Practitioners Regulatory Agency, the National Occupational Licensing Authority and the Australian Curriculum Assessment and Reporting Authority as brand new national bodies to drive and determine a single set of national standards.<br /><br />Another decision was to speed up the Seamless National Economy from June 2013 to December 2012, with options to be developed for a further wave of regulatory and competition reforms.<br /><br />This will undoubtedly lead to the development of more national regulation.<br /><br />However, the most interesting development was <a href="http://www.coag.gov.au/coag_meeting_outcomes/2011-02-13/docs/communique_attachmentC-more_effective_ministerial_council_system.pdf">the establishment of Standing Councils to operate under COAG</a>, designed to:<br /><br /><br /><blockquote>undertake<strong> legislative and governance functions</strong> relevant to their scope, and provide an annual report to COAG which includes an overview of the decisions made by the Council. (our emphasis)<br /></blockquote><br />The idea is to:<br /><br /><br /><blockquote>….(provide) a clear role for Ministers from all jurisdictions to support COAG in tackling 21st century policy challenges. There will be sustained collaborative effort on the long-term reform agenda while allowing for the flexibility needed to address more urgent challenges.<br /></blockquote><br />However, this classic ‘executive federalism’ model of governance suffers from one significant deficiency – ‘democratic deficit’.<br /><br />The somewhat murky structure of the proposed new ministerial council process makes it difficult to see how anyone interested in a policy matter (other than larger players with the capacity to maintain a Canberra presence) will have the capacity to adequately participate in the regulation development process.<br /><br />More particularly, once a COAG Council has ‘undertaken a legislative function’ (which presumably means approving a draft national law to be passed by (usually) state parliaments) one fears the opportunity to amend what could be a bad law will be limited because <a href="http://kmcorke.blogspot.com/search?q=%22COAG+says%22">as COAG (or, in this case, a National Council of COAG) said a law has to pass, and so it will</a>.<br /><br />We harbour sincere doubts that this manner of rule making will necessarily lead to better laws.<br /><br />However, one thing illustrated by the COAG communiqué is that even though Council membership may no longer be wall to wall Labor, the introduction of non-Labor members has not changed the function of COAG as another tier of government determining the rules of the Australian federation without any parliamentary oversight.<br /><br />Plus ca change, plus c'est la meme chose.Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-50472359539663688652011-02-03T12:10:00.003+11:002011-02-03T12:17:46.929+11:002011 - The Year AheadThe 2011 political year is now beginning. Here are some of the issues that will influence how it pans out.<br /><br /><em>The upcoming NSW Drubbing<br /><br /></em>It will not be an issue of whether NSW Labor will lose government on 26 March.<br />Rather, given that that the ALP primary vote <a href="http://www.newspoll.com.au/image_uploads/101204%20NSW%20Voting%20Intention%20&%20Leaders%20Ratings%20Nov%20-%20Dec.pdf">is as low as 24%</a> the question will be by how far.<br /><br />The Hunter and the Illawarra no longer have the industrial bases of times of yore, making it more receptive to the very small ‘c’ conservatism of the Coalition, whilst the inner city is turning Green.<br /><br />The glue that bound the labour movement – a wish to express solidarity with the working class – has lost its power to bind.<br /><br />This reality, together with the poor condition of ‘brand Labor’ means that this could be a ‘transformational election’ – where tribal voters irrevocably change allegiance.<br /><br />This could have federal ramifications as the NSW model has been the model of governance has been the template for Federal Labor.<br /><br />Massively reject NSW Labor, the question of ‘what does Labor mean in the 21st century mean?’ will more broadly resonate.<br /><br />Then there is the next challenge:<br /><br /><em>The Greens</em><br /><br />The new Senate is sworn in on 1 July. From that date the dynamics of the chamber changes. All it needs is for the Government and Greens to vote together to enable matters to pass.<br /><br />How will Labor handle this? Will it be like Tasmania or the ACT in which the parties act more like a coalition presenting to the chamber pre-agreed outcomes, or will there be an attempt of product differentiation between them?<br /><br />Following the Queensland floods, the Prime Minister has announced the abolition, deferral or capping of a number of carbon abatement schemes, including the Green Car Innovation Fund, Cleaner Car Rebate Scheme, the Carbon Capture and Storage Flagships and Solar Flagships, the Solar Hot Water Rebate, Green Start Program, Solar Homes and Communities Plan and the Global Carbon Capture and Storage Institute – policy outcomes that will clearly rile the Greens.<br /><br />However, at the same time she proposes retaining a price on carbon, something to the Prime Minister apparently akin to the floating of the dollar (as she told the<a href="http://www.pm.gov.au/press-office/i-see-what-needs-be-done-and-i-will-do-it-speech-national-press-club"> National Press Club)</a> or a driver of ‘another technological revolution like Information Technology did in the 1980s and 90s’ (as she told a recent <a href="http://www.pm.gov.au/press-office/speech-ceda-luncheon">CEDA luncheon</a>).<br /><br />Two lessons flowed from the Victorian election.<br /><br />The first was that in deciding not to provide the Greens any preferences, the Victorian Libs proved that you can take on the Greens without being seen as anti-environmentalist and suffer an electoral backlash.<br /><br />The second lesson was that suburbia is feeling the pinch of high utility prices.<br /><br />This will be an increasing factor to take into account when ‘putting a price on carbon’ is ultimately unambiguously translated as being ‘increasing electricity costs’ as the carbon debate comes to a climax during 2011.<br /><br />The Government’s attempts to balance its environmental credentials will be interesting.<br /><br />Then there is:<br /><br /><em>Dealing with the States</em><br /><br />We have commented before about the need for the Government to fund the social democratic project.<br /><br />And so the Commonwealth is seeking to claw back some GST payments to the states to pay for hospital reform, whilst the current minerals resource rent tax will be used to (ultimately) increase superannuation payments to employees and ‘build essential infrastructure’.<br /><br />The Commonwealth also wants to impose ‘pre-commitment’ technology on poker machines, in an endeavour to reduce problem gambing – and to give effect to a major policy concern of Andrew Wilkie, one of those on whom the Government is relying to maintain government.<br /><br />However, <a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/wayne-swan-unleashes-tax-turf-war/story-fn59niix-1225974705084">the states are most unhappy. </a><br /><br />Queensland’s Anna Bligh was reported as saying that ‘we are very clear here in Queensland that constitutionally as a sovereign state in our own right, we reserve the right to set appropriate royalties which are returned to Queenslanders for the minerals that are taken out of our state’.<br /><br />The Victorian Coalition government's Resources Minister, Michael O'Brien, said he would not allow his state's taxpayers to "fill the federal Labor government's budget black hole", insisting royalties had always been a state right.<br /><br />Finally, WA Premier Colin Barnett said his state would not hand over GST revenues.<br /><br />Then there is the gambling issue, with some states concerned of (amongst other things) impact on gambling revenues – one of the few own source revenue streams left to the states,<br /><br />Given that it appears the ‘tax summit’ to discuss the proposals contained in the Henry review is intended to be not much more than a talkfest, COAG will be a forum where the issue of dealing with vertical fiscal imbalance and the role of the states in the 21st century Australia will be a major issue – particularly as there are two (and very shortly, probably three) states with non-Labor governments this year.<br /><br />This is before dealing with policy changes necessary to bring the budget back to surplus by 2013.<br /><br />2011 will be one of the more interesting political years.Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-88298642413953575342010-12-31T17:19:00.002+11:002010-12-31T17:28:34.837+11:002010 - the year behind2010 was one of the more interesting years in Australian politics as one prime minister was removed and the successor failed to seal her legitimacy in the subsequent general election.<br /><br />The beginning of the end of the Kevin Rudd era was deciding not to create either a tax or market mechanism to regulate carbon emissions (or call a double dissolution election to create a ‘mandate’ to do so) to deal with the ‘greatest moral, economic and environmental challenge of our generation’ following the failure of international talks in Copenhagen the previous December. <br /><br />Kicking the ‘greatest moral challenge’ into the long grass established a meme of a government that overpromised and underdelivered, something exacerbated by problems with rolling out the ‘Building the Education’ revolution school building programme and the ‘pink batts’ debacle.<br /><br />The Government’s problems were heightened by the proposed imposition of a tax on mining profits without following the usual protocols of fully informing affected taxpayers of the proposed change prior to announcing the proposed change.<br /><br />This led to a highly aggressive attack on the Government by the mining industry and a broad view of a government in panic mode adopting populist policies without a full assessment of outcomes.<br /><br />When all this was coupled with increasing discontent about a dictatorial Prime Ministerial style and a dysfunctional office, ‘the faceless men’ of the ALP backrooms moved to replace Rudd with Julia Gillard to improve a government that had ‘lost its way’.<br /><br />An early election intended to cash in on the ‘honeymoon’ of Australia’s first woman prime minister was called. But there was no honeymoon.<br /><br />The legitimacy of Gillard’s ascension weighed heavily on the campaign.<br /><br />Moreover, the ALP always had an ‘upside down’ coalition of inner urban progressives who were increasingly supporting the Australian Greens.<br /><br />They were challenged by an Opposition who had reduced their campaign to bite size slogans, such as: ‘we’ll end the waste. Pay back the debt. Stop new taxes. Help families. Stop the boats. Do the right thing’. <br /><br />This led to a string of two bob each way policies that appeared to be designed by focus group – yes to an ETS….but only after input from a ‘citizens assembly’; offshore processing of refugees……but in East Timor and not Nauru; immigration was not about numbers coming into the country………..but merely where they lived. And so on.<br /><br />Labor were finally buffeted by unprecedented leaks about Gillard’s position on issues such as paid parental leave.<br /><br />Ultimately, the ALP steadied but the damage was done. It became a minority government reliant on the support of country and regional independents as well as the first Australian Green elected to the House of Representatives.<br /><br />Having got to Christmas, the Government has tried to frame the debate by nominating that 2011 is the year of delivery and decision.<br /><br />Labor hopes to deliver on broadband and health reform and make decisions on issues such as fiscal consolidation (bringing the budget into balance) building capacity on the supply side with tax, superannuation, infrastructure and skills initiatives and extending market-based reforms to health and education, carbon (despite promising not to during the election) and water.<br /><br />It will be the ALP’s burden to ensure that ‘moving forward’ with this agenda will lead to policy and electoral success.<br /><br />The Liberals had a reasonably good 2010. Largely through implosion of the opponent, it was able to get within touching distance of government on the basis of stringent opposition of government proposals and making its own pitch at a (very) high level.<br /><br />It will be interesting to see how much policy meat is added to the slogan like bones offered up in the election.<br /><br />The final point of interest was the Liberal Party (as part of a coalition with the National Party) winning its first state or territory election in 27 attempts when it won in Victoria. <br /><br />The result appeared largely to be an ‘it’s time’ result. However, there were two federal lessons to be learnt.<br /><br />The first was that in deciding not to provide the Greens any preferences, the Victorian Libs proved that you can take on the Greens without being seen as anti-environmentalist and suffer an electoral backlash.<br /><br />The second lesson was that suburbia is feeling the pinch of high utility prices. This will be an increasing factor to take into account when ‘putting a price on carbon’ is ultimately unambiguously translated as being ‘increasing electricity costs’ as the carbon debate comes to a climax during 2011.<br /><br />Something for the Feds to consider during the year of decision and delivery.Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-64089780897801478902010-12-10T15:35:00.004+11:002010-12-10T15:40:49.288+11:00Labor's Growing SchismThe concept of the ‘labour movement’ is in trouble in Australia.<br /><br />At the start of December the political wing of the movement has had a lousy fortnight.<br /><br />The Victorian Government fell.<br /><br />The NSW Labor Party had to <a href="http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/sunday-telegraph/alp-boss-betrays-kristina-keneally/story-e6frewt9-1225962022294">sack its party president</a> when his union’s journal suggested it would support individual candidates from all political persuasions.<br /><br />The South Australian Premier <a href="http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/old-guard-prevails-in-a-house-divided/story-e6frea6u-1225962176803">needed armed police protection</a> to enter his own state conference to defend a union sponsored motion to dump his leadership and to defend the State Budget<br /><br />Finally, a union affiliated with the Queensland ALP is <a href="http://www.couriermail.com.au/news/sunday-mail/furious-electrical-trade-union-leaders-plan-to-launch-own-party-to-bring-down-bligh/story-e6frep2f-1225965735510">thinking about standing candidates</a> against Labor because of anger about the <a href="http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/business/railing-against-privatisation-20100428-ts1y.html">privatisation of assets</a> such as Queensland Rail.<br /><br />These states have (or had) long term Labor governments operating as being solid, conservative managers of the economy that moved to the centre on traditionally weak areas such as law and order and encouraged development whilst showing concern for the environment.<br /><br />However, this model appears to have reached in use-by date, with the greatest pressure being placed on it by the ALP’s labour movement partner – the unions.<br /><br />ACTU President Ged Kearney <a href="http://www.theage.com.au/national/actu-puts-federal-labor-on-notice-20101128-18cer.html">has publicly suggested</a> that unions be prepared to criticise Labor publicly and be more independent of its traditional ally and her executive has <a href="http://www.smh.com.au/national/gillard-courts-actu-bosses-20101130-18fe8.html">endorsed a paper</a> suggesting it be on a permanent campaign footing in a bid to advance an independent political agenda.<br /><br />During the 20th century, There was a time that ‘the labour movement’ – the concept that permitted the representatives of labour and those who wished to express solidarity with the working class to operate within one political party – worked satisfactorily.<br /><br />This meant in practice a coalition of employed workers and a professional class generally residing in the inner city.<br /><br />However, the Greens ‘four pillars’ (ecological sustainability, social equality and economic justice, grassroots democracy and peace and disarmament and nonviolence) is an agenda increasingly appealing to a ‘progressive’ middle class constituency than one put out by a regimented party with 50% union control designed to achieve social justice primarily through the improvement of working conditions through the wages and taxation system.<br /><br />At the same time both state and federal ALP governments are making decisions designed to introduce a ‘seamless economy’, including reforms designed to increase productivity – and as recent ructions illustrate, not every reform will be fully supported by unions as jobs and conditions come under threat.<br /><br />The net result of trying to satisfy the social goals of the progressive professional classes and the industrial goals of the unions means that the ALP is not satisfying either part of its traditional disparate coalition.<br /><br />Earlier in the year Dean Mighell <a href="http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/unions-must-leave-labor-20100210-nsat.html">openly questioned</a> whether affiliation with the ALP remains in the strategic interests of the union movement whilst Michael Costa has again <a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/dont-appease-the-left-confront-it-michael-costa/story-fn59niix-1225963579493">called for reform</a> to remove the power of the union bosses.<br /><br />In much the same way as there has been a ‘structural separation’ of the wholesale and retail arms of Telstra, any review of what constitutes ‘the labour movement’ may mean a structural separation of the movement’s erstwhile industrial and political arms.<br /><br />As the traditional fault lines of labour vs. capital have blur to the point of being non-existent the unions can then prosecute the interests of members as they see fit, whilst the ALP can, should it choose, develop into a modern social democratic party so it can best compete in the Australian political market place of the 21st century.Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-14431757752292073632010-11-10T09:26:00.004+11:002010-11-10T09:34:41.513+11:00COAG - Quo Vadis?<a href="http://kmcorke.blogspot.com/search?q=%22social+democratic+project%22">We have previously indicated</a> it is time to decide:<br /><br />1. which level of government should have responsibility for particular public policy areas;<br /><br />2. what taxation bases should be assigned to the states and territories; and<br /><br />3. where it is appropriate for the Commonwealth to be the level of government determining policy outcomes but is an area where it has no clear constitutional capacity to act, whether it is appropriate to confer Commonwealth power either:<br /><br />(a) indirectly, agreements made under <a href="http://www.austlii.edu.au/au/legis/cth/consol_act/coaca430/s96.html">section 96</a> of the Constitution; or<br /><br />(b) a reference of power by the states to the Commonwealth or directly by the states or by constitutional amendment.<br /><br />The political class really must come out one way or another and declare whether Australian States are either:<br /><br />1. ‘incubators of innovation’ within a country where there is genuine ‘competitive federalism’ –where different jurisdictions will make different rules and regulations and have different levels of taxation, with each jurisdiction ultimately picking up what is ‘best practice’ or face the loss of people and investment; or<br /><br />2. effectively English style County Councils providing a narrow range of services within an Australia with a single seamless economy with a centrally set of rules and taxation levels in force uniformly throughout the country.<br /><br />The Senate has quietly formed a <a href="http://www.aph.gov.au/Senate/committee/reffed_ctte/reffed/info.htm">Select Committee on the Reform of the Australian Federation</a>.<br /><br />Only constitutional (and parliamentary) savants would have known that the Committee existed.<br /><br />It would appear that some respondents are disposed towards something called a ‘Convention for the Federation’.<br /><br /><a href="http://www.aph.gov.au/Senate/committee/reffed_ctte/reffed/submissions.htm">Others submissions</a> are keen to ensure that the position of COAG within the federation is either formalised or, at the very least, clarified.<br /><br />The Select Committee is currently to report by 17 November 2010.<br /><br />In our view the work of:<br /><br />(a) the Select Committee (and its submitters);<br /><br />(b) the Henry Review on Taxation;<br /><br />(c) the treasury heads report to be prepared for COAG; and<br /><br />(d) a ‘Domesday Book’ which would look something like <a href="http://www.finance.gov.au/financial-framework/governance/governance-arrangements-for-australian-government-bodies.html">the List of Australian Government Bodies and Governance Relationships</a>, and would assist in identifying what governments actually do and what duplications exist<br /><br />would both form the basis of developing suitable terms of reference of a ‘Convention for the Federation’ as well as commence the conversation that would accompany the creation of such a body.<br /><br />It will be interesting to see how reform of the federation will fare within Canberra’s ‘new political paradigm’.Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-54491952169504219492010-11-10T08:59:00.004+11:002010-11-10T09:25:10.878+11:00The slow breakdown of COAG – Part 2Gerry Gleeson formally ran the NSW Public Service.<br /><br /><a href="http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/politics/public-service-can-be-a-hotbed-of-talent-and-integrity-20101017-16p1c.html">He said in a recent speech</a>:<br /><br /><br /><blockquote><p>Both parties, nationally, seem determined to diminish and erode the powers of the states.<br /><br />State governments must accept that the Council of Australian Governments will play an increasingly important role in formulating national policies. NSW must not abdicate policy development. We must be leaders and not followers. NSW must be represented at COAG by highly talented officers with passion, purpose and policies to ensure the state gets a fair go.<br /></p><p> </p></blockquote>Gleeson implicitly gives COAG the status of a parliament – <a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/reform-logjam-overloads-coag/story-e6frg6n6-1225945873459">something the political players have now tumbled to</a>:<br /><br /><br /><blockquote>Critics of COAG have included Mr Barnett, who has said that COAG has become almost a new tier of government and lacks accountability and transparency. Mr Barnett has said that with 43 ministerial councils, it was too much....</blockquote><br />A review of the COAG process is to be conducted by the heads of Australian treasuries.<br /><br />The review will look at how well the interlocking COAG agreements are operating as well as whether there is a need for clearly specified responsibilities for governments as well as the development of sufficient performance benchmarks.<br /><br />Unfortunately, one thing not reviewed is the overall capacity of the states and territories to fund any identified ‘clearly specified responsibilities’.<br /><br />In that context it is interesting to see the emergence of the relationship between the payment of the proposed mineral resources rent tax (MRRT) and state based royalties as an issue.<br /><br />According to the mining companies (BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto and Xstrata) a term of the document that allowed the ALP to say there was an ‘agreement’ about a mining tax before the election was a promise the Commonwealth would refund the value of state and territory royalties paid by the mining industry.<br /><br />The Feds now claim that refunds will be paid on the basis of the relevant formula (or any announced variations) in force as at 2 May 2010 - the day the agreement was made was made.<br /><br />This poses the question of what happens if a state increases a royalty amount.<br /><br />The Sydney Morning Herald <a href="http://www.smh.com.au/national/threat-to-block-state-cash-over-mines-row-20101021-16vzw.html?skin=text-only">reports</a> that the Government may withhold transfer payments to the States such as the GST if they effectively challenge the collection rate from the mining tax by increasing royalties.<br /><br /><br /><a href="http://kmcorke.blogspot.com/search?q=%22social+democratic+project%22">We had anticipated this probable outcome</a>:<br /><br /><blockquote>The fact is the federal government requires a lot of money to fund the broad ‘social democratic project’ established by pl.51(xxiii) and (xxiiiA) of <a href="http://www.austlii.edu.au/au/legis/cth/consol_act/coaca430/s51.html">the Constitution</a> –income transfer payments, health, hospitals and (undoubtedly in the immediate future) <a href="http://www.fahcsia.gov.au/sa/disability/pubs/policy/way_forward/Documents/part3.htm">disability support</a> and will need more money (and not less) as an increasing number of worthy needs are identified as requiring support in a country with an aging population and an atomising society.<br /><br />A simple illustration: an portion of the proposed RRT <a href="http://www.futuretax.gov.au/documents/attachments/FERGUSON_MEDIA_RELEASE.pdf">is to help</a> ‘build the roads, rail, ports, electricity and water supply, and other facilities needed to unlock Australia’s resource wealth’.Like housing, health and education, these are subject matters formally considered to be largely state responsibilities increasingly falling under Commonwealth control.<br /><br />The Feds will increasingly need tax revenues to fund their projects in these areas on their terms. Then there is the ‘seamless economy’ and the wish to remove duplication.<br /><br />Currently, the Government proposes that miners pay both royalties and the RRT, with royalty payments a claimable tax rebate. <strong>But it won’t be too long before calls are made that this is an inefficient way of doing things – only one tax should be levied (in this case) on the extraction of minerals. There isn’t much doubt which tax will go. (our emphasis)<br /><br /></strong></blockquote><a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/opinion/the-west-is-digging-in-against-labor/story-e6frg6zo-1225945329693">As The Australian reported</a>, the WA Premier has made his views clear:<br /><br /><blockquote><br />Referring to the Rudd government's initial resource super-profits tax, Barnett says: ‘With 65 per cent of this revenue coming from Western Australia, it was seen as an attack on the mining industry and on our resource income base. People talk about these resources belonging to all Australians. Well, constitutionally, they don't. They belong to the people of each state.<br /><br /></blockquote>In its <a href="http://www.cmewa.com/UserDir/Documents/101028%20-%20IE%20-%20CME%20-%20FINAL%20Combined%20MRRT%20Submission%20and%20Issues%20Paper%20for%20PTG%20-%20v0.1.pdf">28 October letter</a> to the Policy Transition Group (the Committee assisting the Government in implementing the MRRT) the Chamber of Minerals and Energy of Western Australia’s (CME) makes some pretty obvious points:<br /><br /><blockquote>In relation to state royalties, CME has always maintained a strong preference for retention of the current state regime, administered by the state government and with revenues flowing to the state. The state has prime responsibility for resource project approvals and the provision of non-privately owned infrastructure. As such, it is imperative the state government maintains and receives a dividend for WA resources.<br /><br /></blockquote>It is now reported in <a href="http://www.theage.com.au/national/pm-plans-crackdown-on-pokies-20101109-17m4f.html?from=age_sb">The Age</a> that the Treasury ‘is considering using its tax power in the constitution to 'pursue unilateral legislation’ for poker machine reforms.’<br /><br />Whatever the merits of having the Commonwealth regulate gambling, the decision again attacks the capacity of states and territories to make spending decisions confident that there is a stream of ‘own source’ income available to support the decision.<br /><br />Whilst it may not be immediately apparent to the players, the issues of who does what in the Australian federation and how states should receive the funds to discharge ‘allocated responsibilities’ are now coming to a head.Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-64184004995585117422010-11-10T08:51:00.003+11:002010-11-10T08:58:21.068+11:00The Slow Breakdown of COAG - Part 1The slow breakdown of COAG – Part 1<br /><br />NSW Labor leader Kristina Keneally is leading the most unpopular Labor Government in the <a href="http://www.newspoll.com.au/image_uploads/101006%20NSW%20Voting%20Intention%20&%20Leaders%20Ratings%20Sep%20-%20Oct.pdf">history of Newspoll</a>.<br /><br />To stay relevant, she is playing to her core constituencies.<br /><br />One of the ways she is trying to ‘save the furniture’ is to renege on promises made to accept changes to the NSW occupational health and safety (OHS) issue to permit OHS to be harmonised around Australia.<br /><br />This is an interesting development. As we said at the time the OHS intergovernmental agreement was made:<br /><br /><blockquote><p>As part of the (Workplace Relations Ministerial Council) decision, unions will not be able to commence prosecutions, and prosecutors must prove OHS offences beyond reasonable doubt – the Council expressly voted down the current position in <a href="http://www.smh.com.au/national/national-safety-laws-will-cost-nsw-20090518-bcuc.html">NSW</a> – making union stakeholders quite cross.</p><p><a href="http://www.news.com.au/perthnow/story/0,21598,25505042-5017962,00.html">WA</a> declined to sign the communiqué as they were unhappy about the use of conciliation to resolve OHS issues, the low standard of proof for workplace discrimination claims, union right of entry to workplaces and the level of gaol terms. It remains a question how much of the national model each jurisdiction takes into its own law, although it is noted that uniform OHS laws are one of those things for which states and territories receive ‘reward payments’ under the <a href="http://www.coag.gov.au/intergov_agreements/federal_financial_relations/docs/national_partnership/seamless_national_economy_np.pdf">National Partnership to Deliver a Seamless Economy</a></p></blockquote>It is disingenuous for Keneally to argue her position on not agreeing to harmonised OHS provisions is the same as WA. At least WA refused to sign the agreement. NSW folded.<br /><br />As the Sydney Morning Herald said <a href="http://www.smh.com.au/national/national-safety-laws-will-cost-nsw-20090518-bcuc.html">on 14 May 2009</a>:<br /><br /><blockquote>(Then Minister) Mr Tripodi said NSW was committed to harmonisation of legislation, and he was disappointed that NSW laws allowing unions to prosecute for safety breaches were not adopted.<br /></blockquote><br />As one would nearly expect the Prime Minister has <a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/julia-gillard-issues-funding-threat-to-nsw/story-fn59niix-1225939917322">threatened NSW its ‘reward payments</a>', with the Prime Minister reported as saying that 'the Council of Australian Governments must work on the basis that jurisdictions honour their commitments.'<br /><br />This yet again raises the issue of the proper function of COAG within the Australian federation.<br /><br />This will be discussed in the next couple of articles.Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-33833447690059800572010-11-10T08:36:00.007+11:002010-11-10T08:51:32.951+11:00What Does the 'Labour Movement' Actually Mean?NSW Left winger Senator Doug Cameron <a href="http://www.smh.com.au/opinion/labor-searches-for-the-meaning-of-strife-20101106-17i29.html?skin=text-only">made an interesting intervention</a> when he claimed being in the ALP under the final months of Kevin Rudd was like having a ‘political lobotomy’, with MHRs and Senators allegedly acting like ‘zombie MPs’.<br /><br />Like Greg Combet, who has called for Labor to ‘redefine itself as progressive with the core value of equity, social justice and compassion’ Cameron is concerned the party is losing ground to the Greens.<br /><br />He called for the Left in the party to be able to ‘speak effectively to progressive people who are looking for a vision and a strong strategy for progressive policies.’<br /><br />However, <a href="http://www.smh.com.au/national/mps-like-zombies-under-rudd-says-labor-senator-20101025-16zuo.html">as reported by the Sydney Morning Herald</a>:<br /><br /><blockquote>New party rules introduced by Mr Rudd, which were designed to present a united front by stopping MPs from speaking against a Caucus position, worked in the government's favour early on but ended up costing the party.<br /><br />‘There are many people within the Labor Party holding strong progressive points of view and progressive voters don't know this,’ he said.<br /><br />‘The pledge system and the party system just puts a blanket over every different point of view.‘Everything is focused on the spin and on the take of the day and long<br />term strategic policy decisions suffer because of that.’<br /><br />Prime Minister Julia Gillard said in response to the Senator's comments that she made it clear to Caucus she wanted more debate and new ideas about policy direction. But the pledge system would stay, Ms Gillard said.<br /></blockquote><br />One of the reasons that Australian politics is the most rigid in the world is the because of ‘the pledge’: the promise that ALP members make to uphold the party platform and to follow decisions made by Caucus.It is this practice that has provided Australia with the most rigid party system in the Westminster world.<br /><br />This may have been appropriate once upon a time where one centre left party opposed a single coalition of the centre right, but may be less appropriate now.<br /><br /><a href="http://kmcorke.blogspot.com/2010/04/australian-greens-new-country-party-or.html">As we have previously observed</a>:<br /><br /><blockquote>The ALP voting coalition has hitherto consisted of self identifying members of the labour movement, people with English as a second language, income transfer recipients, public sector workers, the arts sector and high income professionals who are both secularist and internationalist in orientation.However, the Greens message - guided by the so-called ‘four pillars’ (ecological sustainability, social equality and economic justice, grassroots democracy and peace and disarmament and nonviolence) is apparently more amenable to a ‘progressive’ middle class constituency than one put out by a regimented party with 50% union control designed to represent the ‘labour movement’ and achieving social justice primarily through the improvement of working conditions and changes to the wages and salaries system.<br /></blockquote><br />Despite winning the federal election, the ALP looks like they are going through the introspection usually undertaken by the losing side.<br /><br />Eyes now turn to Victoria, where the Greens could get up to <a href="http://www.newspoll.com.au/image_uploads/101006%20VIC%20Voting%20Intention%20&%20Leaders%20Ratings%20Sep%20-%20Oct.pdf">19% of the vote</a> and a number of seats in the Legislative Assembly – possibly even holding the balance of power.<br /><br />This will mean the ‘quo vadis’ question being asked with increased vigour.<br /><br />As Labor voters from the ‘moral middle class’ feel able to vote Green the traditional ALP ‘upside down coalition’ of social progressives and the traditional ‘working class’ is now under great strain.<br /><br />Rather than claiming to be in favour of ‘equity, social justice and compassion’ (which sounds as meaningful as being in favour of ‘truth, justice and the American way’) Labor will need to redefine what ‘the labour movement’ – the concept that permitted the representatives of labour and those who wished to express solidarity with the working class to operate within one political party - means in the 21st century.<br /><br />This would be advanced by open public discussion of policy and political options – the idea of smothering debate may not be helpful.<br /><br /><a href="http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2010/10/latest-newspoll-has-nsw-labor-back-to-1904-levels.html">Antony Green has observed</a> that the NSW ALP now has the same voter share as the party had in 1904, with the current mob possibly being the last ‘in its own right’ Labor government in the state.<br /><br />If the Party gets the redefinition of what the ‘labour movement’ means wrong, this could be their fate everywhere.Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-20727667511413181202010-10-11T16:56:00.004+11:002010-10-11T17:04:58.613+11:00Feisty Overseas Advocacy - But Only If I HaftaIn an interesting <a href="http://www.abc.net.au/7.30/content/2010/s3030288.htm">7.30 Report</a> interview following her first overseas trip, Julia Gillard said:<br /><br /><br /><blockquote><p>KERRY O'BRIEN: This is your first overseas trip as Prime Minister. There must be something of a sharp learning curve in all this for you. All domestic portfolios until now; suddenly you're meeting 11 world leaders in a day. Have you found your comfort zone yet?</p><p>JULIA GILLARD: Oh, look, Kerry, I'm obviously working my way through. Kerry, I'm just going to be really upfront about this: foreign policy is not my passion. It's not what I've spent my life doing. You know, I came into politics predominantly to make a difference to opportunity questions, particularly make a difference in education. So, yes, if I had a choice I'd probably more be in a school watching kids learn to read in Australia than here in Brussels at international meetings. That's what took me into politics, that kind of education work. But obviously in this role I will serve as Prime Minister doing the full job, and the full job includes coming to places like Brussels to be a feisty advocate for Australia's national interest. And that's what I will do. It's what I'm doing here.</p></blockquote><br />This is no surprise to us. As we said earlier:<br /><br /><br /><blockquote><p>Gillard is very much, as <a href="http://trevorcook.typepad.com/files/rudds-class-of-2007.pdf">Trevor Cook</a> put it, one of Whitlam’s grandchildren:<br /><br />Throughout his political career, Whitlam pursued a philosophy of “positive equality”, and he sought to change the national debate and the role of the national parliament.<br /></p><p>Positive equality is not about the old battles between capital and labour; it is about removing barriers to self‐improvement and overcoming disadvantage and deprivation through national approaches to policy areas like health, education and transport that emphasise universal access. For Whitlam, positive equality was also about community‐building and social cohesion. In many ways it is a middle‐class and gradualist reform agenda which envisages the use of government to ensure the benefits of economic prosperity are used to create better opportunities for individuals and communities.<br /></p></blockquote><br />The interview followed a mini-spat as to whether Tony Abbott should have accompanied Gillard to a trip to Afghanistan on his way to the British Conservative Party conference.<br /><br />In the event, he was going to visit on the way back - although his excuse that he didn’t accompany the Prime Minister because he would be ‘jetlagged’ for the Conference looked and sounded dopey.<br /><br />This, together with Liberal allegations the government displayed ‘low bastardry’ in allegedly leaking the fact he knocked back accompanying the PM was a fascinating scandalette.<br /><br />Only one thing was missing – a treatment of the appropriate role of Australian forces in Afghanistan as well as the standard of their kit.<br /><br />Both leaders are clearly at home dealing with domestic issues.<br /><br />The concern we have is that when you have leaders who think government is a glorified state government – a mere service provider – and who place their policy emphasis in areas like education (important as that is) and deal with other issues such as defence and foreign affairs only when they really, really ‘gotta’ means that these issues don’t get the attention they deserve.<br /><br />All the benefits of a federal system are lost – and the Australian national interest suffers.Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-74938653976180250312010-09-25T17:36:00.002+10:002010-09-25T17:40:14.783+10:00Pairing the SpeakerThe debate on whether the Speaker of the House of Representatives should be ‘paired’ to compensate for the fact that the Speaker only has a casting vote continues appears to have been settled.<br /><br />The Australian Constitution anticipates that sometimes ties will happen, and when they do the Speaker will break the vote - and that is the designated role of the position.<br /><br />As the bible of the British Parliament, Erskine May, says:<br /><br /><blockquote>‘If the numbers in a division are equal…the Speaker, who otherwise never votes, must give the casting voice. In performance of this duty, he is at liberty to vote like any other member, according to his conscience, without assigning a reason: but, in order to avoid the least imputation upon his impartiality, it is usual for him, where practicable, to vote in such a manner as not to make the reason of the House final and to explain his reasons….’<br /></blockquote><br />As they did in NSW, if you want to change the voting power of the Speaker you really do have to change the Constitution.<br /><br />The NSW Constitution only gave the Speaker only had a casting vote until 2007.<br /><br />To accommodate the wish of an Independent Member of Parliament encouraged by the NSW ALP to become Speaker <a href="http://www.parliament.nsw.gov.au/prod/parlment/hansart.nsf/V3Key/LA20070608007">to participate in debates and vote</a> when an issue important to his electorate came up (much like what Rob Oakeshott appeared to want to do federally) the law was changed.<br /><br />Now, so long as the Speaker is not presiding, he can participate in debate and vote.<br /><br />However<a href="http://www.austlii.edu.au/au/legis/nsw/consol_act/ca1902188/s31.html">, the Constitution had to change to allow this to happen</a>.<br /><br /><a href="http://www.attorneygeneral.gov.au/www/ministers/RWPAttach.nsf/VAP/(3A6790B96C927794AF1031D9395C5C20)~SG+No+++37+of+2010+Office+of+Speaker+of+the+House+of+Representatives+22-9-10.pdf/$file/SG+No+++37+of+2010+Office+of+Speaker+of+the+House+of+Representatives">As the Solicitor-General’s advice makes clear</a>, the agreement of parliamentary reform sealed with a ‘man hug’ during the discussions to form a government can be honoured - it is quite possible for a party to organise for one of its own to abstain to ‘match’ the vote of the otherwise non-voting speaker if they want, thus creating a constitutional ‘work around’.<br /><br />That said, the question of whether ‘pairing’ the Speaker is a good idea remains.<br /><br />For better or worse, Australians returned an equally balanced parliament. Sometimes, ties will happen. And the Speaker will have to make a casting vote.<br /><br />Had the Liberals stuck to the ‘pairing agreement’ they would have explain to the millions of people who voted for it that where otherwise the vote in the House would be tied, in the name of ‘stability’ one of its members abstained from voting - thus allowing through something contrary to its constituent’s interests like a mining tax or carbon tax or any other controversial measure that will invariably come up - in a circumstance where otherwise, if custom was followed by the Speaker, the matter would not have passed but rather stayed in the House for further consideration.<br /><br />The ALP would of course have been in the same conundrum if they were in Opposition.<br /><br />The result of the election will therefore be properly reflected in the votes of the House.<br /><br />Strap in for a wild three years.Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-26312700737805066842010-08-27T12:53:00.003+10:002010-08-27T12:58:59.448+10:00A kinder, warmer Parliament?With an apparently hung Parliament, calls have been made for a more ‘consensual’ Australian legislature.<br /><br />One of the reasons that Australian politics is the most rigid in the world is the because of ‘the pledge’: the promise that ALP members make to uphold the party platform and to follow decisions made by Caucus.<br /><br />It is this practice that has provided Australia with the most rigid party system in the Westminster world.<br /><br />If there is to be a truly consensual brand new political world, this is a practice wel worth reviewing.<br /><br />We discussed this issue in a post dated 14 September 2009. It is republished below:<br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><em>Senator Judith Troeth recently </em><a href="http://www.smh.com.au/national/lib-crosses-floor--to-stop-asylum-seekers-blot-20090908-ffio.html"><em>crossed the floor</em></a><em> to vote with the Government in support of their plan to stop charging asylum seekers and immigration detainees for their mandatory detention.</em><br /><em></em><br /><em>Immigration Minister Chris Evans </em><a href="http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,26044323-5013871,00.html"><em>lauded her</em></a><em> for her decision.<br /><br />On the same day, three ALP MPs </em><a href="http://news.theage.com.au/breaking-news-national/labor-mps-endorse-book-import-petition-20090908-ffmm.html"><em>endorsed a petition</em></a><em> calling on the government to retain the prohibition on parallel importation of books.It will be interesting to see if they cross the floor should the Government decide to remove the ban. </em><br /><br /><em>It is not often that ALP members cross the floor. This is because party rules prevent it.<br /><br />In particular, Rule 5 says (in part):<br /><br />d. The Federal Parliamentary Labor Party shall have authority in properly constituted Caucus meetings to make decisions directed towards establishing the collective attitude of the Parliamentary Party to any question or matter in the Federal Parliament, subject to:<br /><br />i. at all times taking such action which may be possible to implement the Party's Platform and Conference decisions;<br /><br />ii.on questions or matters which are not subject to National Platform or Conference or Executive decisions, the majority decision of Caucus being binding upon all members in the parliament; and<br /><br />iii. no attitude being expressed which is contrary to the provisions of the Party Platform or any other decision of National Conference or National Executive<br /><br />The existence of this rule in particular weakens the role of all Australian parliaments.<br /><br />In Westminster, party whips divide votes into three categories.<br /><br />In very trite terms:<br /><br />a ‘one line whip' tells members what the party line is, however, there is a degree of discretion as to whether the line is followed;<br /><br />a ‘two line whip’ is a debate in which a member is expected to vote in according to the party line, unless there is a strong conscientious objection; and<br /><br />a ‘three line whip’ is a debate where the member should simply follow the party line.<br /><br />However, all that said, there are many circumstances in which members of the House of Commons have 'rebelled' from the Whip and voted against party, notwithstanding the declaration of a three line whip.<br /><br />Ask yourself: how often do you see an ALP member 'cross the floor' in Parliament?<br /><br />The answer is 'seldom' - and when they do, they are usually disciplined.<br /><br />In that case, it is hardly surprising that the alternative political grouping becomes as rigidly controlled - if they weren’t, common sense tells you they would never win a parliamentary vote.<br /><br />There are many circumstances where party discipline means that MPs are voting for a proposal against their better judgement.<br /><br />The best way to ensure that legislation is appropriate is to ensure that there is a properly functioning parliament with members making decisions according to their conscience and not their party whip.<br /><br />Matters may very well be assisted if the ALP abolished its rule.</em>Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-65982650000774288492010-08-24T11:53:00.003+10:002010-08-24T12:01:22.079+10:00End Game?The election is over. The likely result is a hung parliament.<br /><br />As we said <a href="http://kmcorke.blogspot.com/2010/08/election-2010-half-way-point.html">previously</a>:<br /><br /><blockquote>The presence or absence of a national broadband network, an absence of a mining tax, temporary protection visas and the extension of unfair contract laws to small business are the only real areas of difference – most other things are differences in emphasis and timing.<br /></blockquote><br />(Although more on the NBN, anon.)<br /><br />For all of that, both Abbott and Gillard are representatives of their respective strands of thought.<br /><br />Gillard is very much, as <a href="http://trevorcook.typepad.com/files/rudds-class-of-2007.pdf">Trevor Cook</a> put it, one of Whitlam’s grandchildren:<br /><br /><blockquote>Throughout his political career, Whitlam pursued a philosophy of “positive equality”, and he sought to change the national debate and the role of the national parliament. Positive equality is not about the old battles between capital and labour, it is about removing barriers to self‐improvement and overcoming disadvantage and deprivation through national approaches to policy areas like health, education and transport that emphasise universal access. For Whitlam, positive equality was also about community‐building and social cohesion. In many ways it is a middle‐class and gradualist reform agenda which envisages the use of government to ensure the benefits of economic prosperity are used to create better opportunities for individuals and communities.<br /></blockquote><br />Hence<a href="http://kmcorke.blogspot.com/2009/07/win-of-sorts-for-federalism-pape-v.html">, however constitutionally iffy the proposals are in a post Pape world</a> without a section 96 agreement with the States, Gillard was always at her strongest when she was ‘educational Julia’ promising improved teaching and schooling standards.<br /><br />Conversely, Abbott is very much from the ‘Christian democrat’ (or Catholic Liberal) wing of the Liberals, with a focus on traditional social values and a respect for individual effort, whilst mindful for the need of social solidarity and more comfortable with a greater level of regulation of market forces than some of his colleagues – hence support for things like substantial tax rebates for education expenses and paid parental scheme paid for by big business whilst wanting to ‘stop the boats’ and remove ‘big new taxes’ (etc).<br /><br />It was therefore unsurprising when Abbott said in his last address to the <a href="http://au.news.yahoo.com/thewest/a/-/breaking/7777959/abbott-touts-opportunity-society/">National Press Club</a> for the election that he wanted to ‘transform Australia from ‘welfare state to opportunity society’ by linking new workforce initiatives to his economic agenda:<br /><br /><blockquote>My ambition is for us to make the journey from welfare state to opportunity society ... which preserves the comprehensive safety net but which eliminates the cancer of passive welfare.<br /></blockquote><br />(Why this wasn’t said by him more often when the Liberal campaign was criticised for having nothing to say in the middle weeks of the campaign is beyond us.)<br /><br />However, that said, despite different starting points the practical end point is that the policies of the two parties constitute a welfarism that differs only in emphasis as to the manner of implementing outcomes in broadly agreed areas.<br /><br />This absence of shade and light led to state issues (particularly relating to government competence in NSW and Queensland) having disproportionate influence in the election.<br /><br />The net result: a draw in the number of seats.<br /><br />It may well be that the ALP will form government.<br /><br />However, the large Greens vote could mean that they become Labor’s <a href="http://kmcorke.blogspot.com/2010/04/australian-greens-new-country-party-or.html">‘new Country Party’</a>, pushing them leftwards and away from the ‘Sussex Street’ Labor model of representing the ALP as being solid, conservative managers of the economy, moving to the centre on traditionally weak areas such as law and order and encouraging development whilst evincing a general (but not overwhelming) concern for the environment.<br /><br />This leftward push could be paradoxically assisted by having to deal with the ‘Old Country Party’ – the three independent country members holding (at time of writing) the balance of power, with views on issues such as transfer payments to ‘worthy’ recipients being surprisingly similar to city progressives.<br /><br />It would be something if perhaps the only significant difference between the parties – the national broadband network – is the thing that will settle who will form government.<br /><br />This Parliament could inadvertently mark the commencement of the political paradigm of the 21st Century, as the ‘labour/capital’ divide of the 20th century is replaced by one block representing a ‘secular humanism’ (typically found in voters in inner urban Australia), balanced by a block representing small ‘n’ nationalist and ‘aspirational’ values found more commonly in suburban and provincial Australia.<br /><br />We live in interesting times.Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-23445114673884658232010-08-10T16:06:00.005+10:002010-08-10T16:15:02.225+10:00Election 2010 - the half way pointThe Australian election is now half over.<br /><br />Following the ‘leaders debate’ the major parties started the process of making, as they always do, targeted promises to win specific constituencies as the ‘momentum’ magically builds one way or another.<br /><br />And so the ALP made promises in areas such as hospital staffing, suicide prevention, water harvesting from stormwater drains, a disability strategy….… and a rail link to Redcliffe (met and matched by the Opposition, to the surprise of the local candidate).<br /><br />The Liberals made promises on slowing the growth of marine parks, a ring road for Cairns, an education card for disabled students and their version of hospital funding, with their largest promise being a promise to reduce company tax to the general level promised by the ALP…..a bit of a surprise given the Leader had previously said ‘<a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/business-raps-abbott-as-he-puts-his-economic-credentials-on-the-line/story-fn59niix-1225884958778">no one much is going to notice a 2 per cent cut in company tax’.</a><br /><br />However, the Kevin Rudd issue – how he was dumped and what he would do in the future – as well as strategic leaks about what Julia Gillard may or may not have thought about pension increases and paid maternity leave dominated the second week, leading to a dysfunctional looking ALP and polls showing the Liberals either tied with or just ahead of Labor at the end of week 2.<br /><br />And so week 3 began with the ‘old’ Julia Gillard becoming <a href="http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/breaking-news/ill-steer-clear-of-kevin-rudd-says-julia-gillard/story-e6freuyi-1225900791840">‘feisty Julia’</a>, taunting Abbott to debate her on economics as well as doing wild and risky things like riding on the campaign media bus (!) whilst Tony Abbott continued to campaign in the restrained manner of the front runner, concluding with a policy launch long on contrasts with Labor but short of policy specifics.<br /><br />The reason why cosmetic issues like the ‘old Julia’ has changed into the ‘new Julia’ is so newsworthy is because there are few massive differences between the parties.<br /><br />The presence or absence of a national broadband network, an absence of a mining tax, temporary protection visas and the extension of unfair contract laws to small business are the only real areas of difference – most other things are differences in emphasis and timing.<br /><br />This should be expected because of the way Australian politics is structured.<br /><br />There are two main reasons for this.<br /><br />Compulsory voting means that so called ‘rusted on’ voters can be overlooked.<br /><br />This leads to a practical exercise of what is called <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hotelling">Hotelling’s Law</a>, which presumes that the optimal place for a business (or political party) to focus its attention is the perceived half way point of its target market.<br /><br />Thus in this context everything is aimed at the ‘swinging voter’ in the middle of the political spectrum.<br /><br />Moreover, it is our experience that many (if not the majority) of people involved in parliamentary politics could just as easily work for the other side.<br /><br />This is because those who choose to participate in politics are generally middle class tertiary educated people who are vaguely socially progressive, and whilst not anti-market nevertheless possess a belief in an activist government that can intervene to improve the lot of society, usually through the continued creation of entitlements to ‘worthy’ recipients falling within targeted eligibility grounds.<br /><br />It is also the case that they are overwhelmingly young and with little experience in small business (in particular) or in broader community life.<br /><br />The result is that parliamentary government is in the hands of a narrow political class with an equally narrow world view.<br /><br />Little wonder that this election is one of the most soulless ever conducted.<br /><br />For all of that, we are now in the second half of the campaign. The ‘new Julia’ appears to have steadied the ALP ship and is segueing towards her preferred battleground of eduction.<br /><br />Conversely, the coalition campaign appears to have remained still for the better part of week 3, as Labor went through their woes.<br /><br />However, they may have played it too safe.<br /><br />Despite all the tremors within Labor, attacks on Abbott’s economic credentials and readiness for government and an absence of strong coalition positives may have had an effect - the ALP is now marginally in front.<br /><br />Gillard’s incessant requests for a debate on economics may also have had some effect, as both she and Abbott are to front the same public meeting at the delightfully named Rooty Hill, in Western Sydney.<br /><br />This will undoubtedly be the starting platform for the last stanza of election 2010.Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-52725421575128265902010-08-03T13:30:00.002+10:002010-08-03T13:38:21.644+10:00Election 2010 - Small Business Policies<p>One area of the 2010 election campaign that hasn’t been particularly discussed thus far has been election policies specifically addressing small business to be implemented over the next parliament.<br /><br />This is a brief review.<br /><br /><em>The ALP</em><br /><br />The ALP is generally standing on what it has done for small business in the life of this parliament – things such as a superannuation clearance house within the ATO, the creation of a small business advisory committee and a handbook to assist independent contractors.<br /><br />Prospectively, the ALP <a href="http://www.futuretax.gov.au/documents/attachments/Fact_Sheet_small_business.pdf">proposes</a> giving small business the ability to instantly write off assets costing up to $5,000 and cut the corporate tax rate from 30 per cent to 29 per cent as from 1 July 2012 - one year earlier than larger companies.</p><p><br />However, this would appear to be subject to the passage of what is now called the Mineral Resource Rent Tax applicable to iron ore and coal projects.<br /><br />Moreover, another part of the <a href="http://www.futuretax.gov.au/pages/default.aspx">suite of measures</a> to be funded by the MMRT is an <a href="http://www.futuretax.gov.au/pages/FairerSuperannuation.aspx">increase in the superannuation guarantee</a> from 9% to 12%.<br /><br />The supporting documentation indicates the increase in superannuation will ‘affect… wage negotiations between employers and employees’, an observation implicitly recognising that employers are ultimately responsible for funding superannuation.<br /><br />If it comes to pass, it will be interesting to see how much of the reduction in the tax rate will be retained in the business if during these negotiations the reduction is identified as a source supporting an increase in overall employee remuneration (including the rise in superannuation).<br /></p><p>However, reductions in company tax rates will be of little interest if a business is caught up by a possible change to personal services income laws.<br /></p><p><em>Personal services income<br /></em><br />On 19 December 2009 the Assistant Treasurer (Senator Sherry) received a Board of Taxation review on the area.<br /><br />Releasing the report, he said the Board had found:<br /><br /></p><blockquote> ‘a low level of compliance and a degree of uncertainty or ‘greyness’<br />around the rules, such that it has found the alienation of personal services income rules in their current form do not provide acceptable levels of integrity and equity…. This means that ordinary workers may be missing out on proper pay, proper super entitlements and a range of other employment conditions such as long-service and other leave entitlements.<br /></blockquote><p>It concluded:<br /><br /></p><blockquote>The use of sham contractors is a threat to the integrity of the taxation system and a threat to working conditions of employees – and the Rudd Government is determined to see an end to its inappropriate use.<br /> </blockquote><p>The Government decided it would wait for the final report of the Henry Review into taxation before deciding what to do.<br /><br />Recommendation 10 of the Henry Review was:<br /><br /></p><blockquote>Consideration should be given to a revised regime to prevent the alienation of personal services income that would extend to all entities earning a significant proportion of their business income from the personal services of their owner-managers, whether in employee-like or non-employee-like cases. This regime may also apply an arm’s length rule to deductions arising from payments to associates to ensure deductions reflect the value of services provided.<br /></blockquote><p>This would appear to require businesses to distinguish between income earned from capital as opposed to labour, adversely affecting all ‘knowledge professionals’ from consultants to barristers, and from accountants to computer consultants.<br /><br />It would certainly appear capture most home based micro businesses – which many in the bureaucracy have never accepted as ever being ‘real’ businesses.<br /><br />In our experience its view is if you can’t see stock or staff you are not in business but either (depending on your taste) a ‘true’ employee in an arrangement to rort the tax system or a simpleton ripe for exploitation.<br /></p><p>The Coalition has said that it will not change the current personal service income laws as ‘no case has been made or evidence provided to justify changes to force independent contractors and self employed people into more ‘employee-like’ arrangements’.<br /></p><p>This appears to be a solid commitment. However they are also considering how they <a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/liberals-to-outline-henry-tax-vision/story-fn59niix-1225894279412">are going to respond to the Henry Review</a>.<br /></p><p>It would therefore remove all doubt if the Coalition would expressly confirm that Recommendation 10 will not be considered as part of the response to Henry Review.<br /></p><p>Otherwise be interesting to see if it will get new life once the Treasury starts providing them with advice, should they win.<br /></p><p>Gotta protect the integrity of the tax base y’know. And so forth.<br /></p><p>It will be interesting if the ALP will make any commitments about its treatment of PSI during the election.<br /><br /><em>The Coalition</em><br /></p><p>The Coalition have countered Labor’s proposed company tax cut with a 1.5 per cent cut in the company tax rate from company tax from 30% to 28.5% on July 1 2013.<br /><br />It is to be hoped that this commitment <a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/commentary/liberals-double-counting-staggers/story-e6frgd0x-1225898204648">can be afforded</a>, and is not a cynical ‘meet and beat’ commitment to retain the mantle of being ‘the party of small business’ during the election campaign, to be discarded in the name of fiscal responsibility once in government.<br /></p><p>The Coalition has made <a href="http://www.liberal.org.au/Latest-News/2010/07/28/Real-action-to-support-small-business.aspx">a number of other commitments</a>.<br /></p><p><em>Proposed coalition changes to government structure</em><br /></p><p>There will be a cabinet level ‘small business’ minister. This is symbolically important although the more valuable component of this promise is the requirement for cabinet submissions to address how proposals impact small business.<br /></p><p>The mere fact of having to write something requires those having to prepare ‘cab subs’ to at least think about the issue.<br /></p><p>A proposed ‘small business’ representative on the Taxation Board of Review is also symbolically important, although it will be interesting to see how the impact of having this proxy representation can be measured in practice.<br /></p><p>Government agencies will have to use procedures and practices to ‘that do not disadvantage small business participation and instead, actively encourage it.’<br />Governments of all persuasions promise this.<br /></p><p>However, in many circumstances public servants involved in letting tenders have neither the information to make informed decisions in favour of selecting smaller businesses nor the time to gather it. And you can never be blamed for anything if you’ve ‘bought IBM’.<br /></p><p>Public sector procurement and prudential rules, which are costly to comply with in their own way for both contract manager and service provider are also unlikely to be loosened.<br /></p><p>So it will be interesting to see what will be different this time.<br /></p><p>Businesses will also be able to charge interest if payments for any service provided are late - although whether the costs involved (particularly in time) in chasing up the interest amounts that can be charged may make this right somewhat problematic.<br /></p><p>A Small Business and Family Enterprise Ombudsman is to be created to ‘provide an advocacy, dispute resolution and support role for the sector’ across the government.<br /></p><p>Given that every small business in Australia could contingently be a ‘client’ of this proposed agency, the indicator of how committed the Opposition is to this initiative will be how well the Office will be funded.<br /></p><p>It is noted that whilst the Victorian Small Business Commissioner is reasonably well funded, equivalent offices in the ACT and SA were early sacrifices to budget savings.<br /></p><p>It will also publish with a series of ‘better practice guidelines’ to explain and encourage’ fair commercial conduct’.<br /></p><p>‘Guidelines’ to become a ‘better corporate citizen’ are all well and good, but mere publication aren’t much practical help to a shopkeeper having a dispute with a supplier or landlord if they have little actual effect, particularly if the proposed Ombudsman is ill-equipped to provide much more than moral support.<br /></p><p>It may be better if these proposed guidelines had some legal effect.<br /></p><p>The proposed <a href="http://www.comlaw.gov.au/ComLaw/legislation/act1.nsf/0/331BB71279A6AB67CA257762000902FE/$file/103-2010.doc">Australian Consumer Law</a> to commence operation on 1 January 2011 will permit small businesses can take action where there has been ‘unconscionable conduct’ in trade or commerce.<br /></p><p>The relevant provision sets out things to take into account when considering whether unconscionable conduct has taken place.<br /></p><p>It would be better if any proposed guidelines must be taken into account when considering whether unconscionable conduct has been displayed.<br /></p><p>This would increase the impact of any guidelines that might be issued.<br /></p><p><em>Changes to trade practices law</em><br /></p><p>The Coalition has promised it will to extend the unfair contracts protections available to consumers to small business.<br /></p><p>This will mean that small business will be able to avoid ‘unfair’ standard form contracts in the same way ordinary consumers can under the proposed Australian Consumer Law to commence operation on 1 January 2011 – something the current government removed from legislation immediately prior to its introduction into Parliament.<br /></p><p>Finally, the Coalition promises another review of the Trade Practices Act – soon to be called the Competition and Consumer Act - which is to be focussed on ‘giving small business a fair go’.<br /></p><p>As The Australian noted on <a href="http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/yet-another-review-of-competition-law/story-e6frg8zx-1225894767741">21 July 2010</a> there have been 59 different reviews of the old Trade Practices Act in the past decade.<br /></p><p>It is difficult to see what will be achieved here that wasn’t achieved by the Trade Practices Act review that gave rise to what was known as the <a href="http://tpareview.treasury.gov.au/content/report.asp">Dawson Report</a> which had <a href="http://tpareview.treasury.gov.au/content/termsofref.asp">terms of reference</a> that included examining whether there was ‘an appropriate balance of power between competing businesses, and in particular businesses competing with or dealing with businesses that have larger market concentration or power’.<br /></p><p>This is particularly the case, given that shadow Treasurer said of the review in his budget reply to the National Press Club:<br /></p><blockquote>There may not be a need to dramatically change our competition policy and regulatory frameworks, but there is a need to consider what changes could be made so that market efficiencies and productivity enhancements are maximised.<br /></blockquote><p>The Australian reports that Bruce Bilson, the relevant Shadow Minister, is ‘keen for it to go along the lines of a Productivity Commission review’.<br /></p><p>If the matter goes to the Productivity Commission, there is unlikely to be any real change to the current legislation.<br /></p><p>This is because it has consistently confirmed the importance of ensuring that allocative efficiency is maintained – any changes that it considers may affect innovation or market dynamism such as for instance, changing the test that allows a harsh contract to be reviewed from ‘unconscionable conduct’ to ‘unfair conduct’ (as is the test in the <a href="http://www.austlii.edu.au/au/legis/cth/consol_act/ica2006255/s12.html">Independent Contractors Act</a>) may not win favour.<br /></p><p>The Coalition has always had to square the competing interests within its electoral coalition of the Big End of Town, with its eyes on ensuring they maintain the scale to compete internationally with the Small End of Town, which perceives the need for some protection against larger corporations because of inequality of bargaining power – hence the somewhat tortuous drafting of current trade practices law.<br /></p><p>The Coalition therefore really needs to indicate whether they are being ‘fair dinkum’ in giving small business a ‘fair go’ in this context.</p>Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-227264596803594829.post-48304124181211821872010-07-27T14:39:00.004+10:002010-08-10T16:22:19.346+10:00Election 2010Labor clearly won the first part of week 1 of the campaign for the 21 August federal election.<br /><br />They commenced as frontrunners, with publicly available opinion polls suggesting they were ahead 55/45.<br /><br />They were also aided by a slow start from the Liberals as well as confusion over the Opposition’s industrial relations policy.<br /><br />The previous Workchoices policy was supposed to be ‘dead buried and cremated’ - however, Liberal spokesmen suggested the legislation could still be <a href="http://www.smh.com.au/federal-election/mr-squiggle-abbotts-scrawl-over-the-workchoices-finish-line-20100719-10gpr.html">‘tweaked’</a> (whatever that meant).<br /><br />The great difference between Workchoices and the current legislation is the primacy of the industrial award as the basis of determining wages and conditions, as opposed Workchoice’s built in bias towards some form of individual contract.<br /><br />Why they couldn’t say that in Government the coalition would retain the award system and not reintroduce the concept of unfair dismissals (if that’s what they wanted to do) without winding up into knots over whether or not they would touch any sort of legislative instrument related to the Fair Work Act currently in place over the next three years is beyond us.<br /><br />As for Labor, however repetitious it was, the ‘moving forward’ mantra confirmed the idea that Kevin Rudd was no longer the leader. Noting infrastructure pressures was also a sound message to sell into Middle Australia.<br /><br />However, things started to slow for them midweek.<br /><br />Firstly, Kevin Rudd appeared, reminding people he wasn’t dead after all. Focussing on him soaked up around two days of the campaign week.<br /><br />This took from view promises both sides made on what can be claimed under the education tax refund scheme as well as the Liberal’s re-announcement of its hit list of expenditure savings.<br /><br />The remainder of the week underlined the difficulty Labor has keeping its bifurcated constituencies of inner urban progressives and outer suburbanites together.<br /><br />As Bernard Salt said in an Australian article on 13 August 2009, a significant and growing cultural divergence has evolved in Australian cities between different social groups between those who live in the inner city and those who live on the city’s edge.<br /><br />The traditional ALP voting coalition has generally consisted of self identifying members of the labour movement, people with English as a second language, welfare recipients, public sector workers, the arts sector and high income professionals who are secularist and internationalist in orientation.<br /><br />On one analysis, Julia Gillard is well placed to keep this disparate coalition together.<br /><br />In the Weekend Australian on 16 February 2002, Matt Price described Julia Gillard as someone with the cheese-grater voice of a Footscray fishwife and a the multi-shaded hairstyle of a Toorak trendoid.<br /><br />At a memorial service held on 14 December 2007 after Price’s death, Gillard indicated she had corrected Price, claiming she had the cheese-grater voice of an Altona fishwife and the multi-shaded hair of a Fitzroy trendoid.<br /><br />Altona fishwife and Fitzroy trendoid. This sums up the disparate nature of the ALP constituency.<br /><br />The danger for Labor is that they have the problem that in trying to straddle both sides of the fence they will satisfy neither trendy nor burby.<br /><br />A confusing message could mean they don’t stand for anything or anyone.<br /><br />For example, during the week the Prime Minister claimed that the whilst she believed in global warming and the price of inaction about it was ‘too high a price to pay’, promising an emission trading scheme some day – something for Fitzroy.<br /><br />However, the political process has to be tied to a ‘community consensus’.<br /><br />The result a review of the proposed ETS during 2012 – but not before a ‘citizens’ assembly’ debates the issue over 12 months to assist in building community consensus (slowing the introduction of the ETS and thus a price on carbon, with its inherently higher consumer costs that it imposes) – something for Altona.<br /><br />This idea (particularly the ‘citizens’ assembly’) was universally panned – in trying to please everyone they pleased nobody.<br /><br />Promising offshore processing of asylum seekers arriving by boat (something for Altona) but not at Nauru (as it hadn’t signed the UN Refugees Convention – something for Fitzroy) similarly appeared to please no-one.<br /><br />A final example was where the Prime Minister argued that the population debate she commenced was less about immigrant numbers but rather where skilled migrants were going to live.<br /><br />However, as ex-leader Mark Latham said, it was a phoney debate. He went on to say:<br /><br /><blockquote>If it's not an immigration debate, it's no debate…………and I'll tell you what it is, it's a fraud. It's an attempt to con people in western Sydney that she's going to do something about congestion.<br /></blockquote><br />Nevertheless, these problems ultimately didn’t alter Labor’s frontrunning position.<br /><br />By weeks end, the Morgan poll still showed the ALP with a 54/46 margin (with a high number of women indicating they will vote Labor), although the last Newspoll had it 52/48.<br /><br />The Liberals were aided by a ‘nothing to see here move along’ debate between the two leadership contenders (which really was a joint news conference) in which Abbott won by not losing to Gillard (the more accomplished public speaker) and Abbott getting through a 7.30 Report interview unscathed.<br /><br />And so the second stanza commences with the challenge for the Liberals is whether an Abbott led party can be plausibility regarded as The Champion of Suburbia as well as getting over a perceived problem with women voters.<br /><br />As frontrunners, it is Labor’s challenge to show that it is not trying to be too clever by half.Kerry Corkehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04909464611575141988noreply@blogger.com1